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M. Dias Branco S.A (MDIA3) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$6.3B

PriceR$17.38
Fair ValueR$33.44
Upside+92.4%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range R$25.08 – R$41.81

Analysis

M. Dias Branco S.A (MDIA3) currently trades at R$17.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$33.44 — implying the stock looks roughly 92.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

M. Dias Branco S.A. Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos manufactures, distributes, and sells food products in Brazil. It offers cookies and crackers, pasta, and wheat flour/bran; vegetable shortenings and margarines, cakes, cake mixes, packaged toast, and snacks; and cereals, snacks, granolas, gluten-free products, seasonings, sauces, and condiments under the Adria, Aldente, Basilar, Bonsabor, Estrela, Fortaleza, Finna, Fit Food, Frontera, Isabela, Jasmine, Pelágio, Pilar, Piraquê, Predilleto, Richester, Salsito, Smart, Taste&Co, Treloso, Vitarella, Zabet, and Las Acacias brands. The company also provides refined oils and wheat milling services. In addition, it exports its products. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Eusébio, Brazil.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.