Midsummer AB (MIDS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 640M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +21.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 92% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.1785). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 0.0935 to kr 0.1785) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.6900 – kr 11.43 · fair‑value band kr 0.0935 – kr 0.1785 · the kr 1.51 price screens above the kr 0.1190 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Midsummer AB (MIDS) currently trades at kr 1.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.1190, implying the stock looks roughly 92.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Midsummer AB generated revenue of 214M SEK at a net margin of -17.0%. It earns a return on equity of -15.9%. Net debt stands at 206M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.0935 (bear case) to kr 0.1785 (bull case); at kr 1.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -92%, MIDS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Midsummer AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells solar panels to industrial and commercial properties, public sector organizations, private individuals, and roof and solar cell installers.
Full company description
Midsummer AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells solar panels to industrial and commercial properties, public sector organizations, private individuals, and roof and solar cell installers. It offers Midsummer DUO, a ready-made manufacturing system to produce cadmium-free thin-film solar cells; Midsummer UNO, a tool for thin films used for solar cell research; Midsummer SLIM, a solar roof that combines thin solar panels with a seamed sheet metal roof; Midsummer WAVE, a wave-shaped solar panel for roof tiles; and Midsummer BOLD, an ultra-light and flexible solar panel for roofs. It operates in Sweden, Portugal, Italy, rest of European Union, Hong Kong, the United States, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Järfälla, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Midsummer AB reported revenue of kr 164M in FY2025 versus kr 94.4M in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 74.4M in FY2025.
MIDS screens 92% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →
Peer Group
Solar · 118 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $221.03 | $284.45 | +29% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $111.50 | $69.61 | -38% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,923 | ₹3,613 | +24% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥13.08 | ¥12.13 | -7% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.39 | ¥4.75 | +8% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.64 | ¥22.76 | +5% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.11 | ¥7.01 | -31% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $44.83 | $22.20 | -50% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.98 | ¥7.97 | -39% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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