Midwich Group (MIDW) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · GB · Market cap 137M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +1.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from £0.8800 (bear) to £1.45 (bull), base £0.8800. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.23 – £5.70 · fair‑value band £0.8800 – £1.45 · the £1.34 price screens above the £0.8800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Midwich Group (MIDW) currently trades at £1.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.8800, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Midwich Group generated revenue of £1.3B at a net margin of -1.8%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.9%. Net debt stands at £147M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.8800 (bear case) to £1.45 (bull case); at £1.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at -34%, MIDW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£4.21) versus Earnings-Based (£0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Midwich Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, distributes audio visual (AV) solutions to trade customers in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and North America.
Full company description
Midwich Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, distributes audio visual (AV) solutions to trade customers in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and North America. It distributes displays, projectors, professional audio products, digital signage and image processing products, LED displays, and broadcast products, as well as lighting and unified communications products. The company also offers cable, fire safety, home cinema, and video editing software products; audio visual solutions; and musical solutions, as well as providing logistics and administrative services, and security solutions. In addition, it serves professional AV integrators and IT resellers, as well as corporate, education, hospitality, travel, healthcare, broadcast/media, government, venues and events, residential, and retail sectors. The company was formerly known as Jade 320 Limited and changed its name to Midwich Group plc in April 2016. Midwich Group plc was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Diss, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Midwich Group reported revenue of £1.3B in FY2025 versus £856M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −£22.6M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +17.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −9.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MIDW screens 34% overvalued. Compare with TD SYNNEX Corporation →
Peer Group
Electronics & Computer Distribution · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX | $251.52 | $207.02 | -18% |
| Unisplendour Corporation 000938 | ¥38.59 | ¥11.79 | -69% |
| Rexel S.A RXL | €38.59 | €33.31 | -14% |
| Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW | $204.10 | $115.40 | -43% |
| Avnet, Inc AVT | $87.13 | $58.57 | -33% |
| WPG Holdings 3702 | 106.50 TWD | 102.31 TWD | -4% |
| Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 | ¥22.37 | ¥7.52 | -66% |
| Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347 | 85.30 TWD | 86.30 TWD | +1% |
| Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 | ¥37.37 | ¥8.60 | -77% |
| Insight Enterprises, Inc NSIT | $114.65 | $104.19 | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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