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MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. $17.39, price $23.17, upside -25.0%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US

MM MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc.

MINBY · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $17.39 · Overvalued (−25%)
!Quality 54/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +10.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.0% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.22% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$33.39 $10.70 Fair Value $17.39 Apr 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range $10.70 – $33.39 · fair‑value band $11.14 – $24.48 · the $23.17 price screens above the $17.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. manufactures and supplies machined components, electronic devices and components, automotive, and industrial machinery and home security business in Japan and internationally. It operates through Precision Technologies; Motor, Lighting & Sensing; Semiconductors & Electronics; Access Solutions, and other segments.

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MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. manufactures and supplies machined components, electronic devices and components, automotive, and industrial machinery and home security business in Japan and internationally. It operates through Precision Technologies; Motor, Lighting & Sensing; Semiconductors & Electronics; Access Solutions, and other segments. The company offers bearing products, including miniature and small-sized ball bearings, rod end and spherical bearings, roller bearings, bushings, precision machined parts for aircraft, and medium- and large-sized ball bearings for aerospace use. It also provides bearing-related products, such as pivot assemblies and precision mechanical assemblies; and fasteners, defense related special components, and magnetic clutches and brakes. In addition, the company offers fan motors, blowers, hybrid, permanent magnet(PM), small diameter PM stepping, brush DC, small brushless, power brushless, polygon mirror scanner, hard disk drive, high-pressure blowers, rotation angle sensors, fan units, and fluid dynamic bearing motors. Further, it provides lighting and resonant devices; and strain gauges, force sensors, load cells, pressure sensor, torque transducers, vector sensors, digital indicators, and tensile and compression testing machines; sensors and sensor related ICs products; coils, switches, and connectors; Antennas and Wireless LAN modules; Camera actuators; power rear gate system, latches, door handles, lock sets / electrical steering column locks, switches, climate control panels, and room lamps; switches, meters, fuel pump / sensor, oil cooler, harness / cable, and seat; electric, door, and sadiot lock system; and semiconductors. The company was formerly known as Minebea Co., Ltd. and changed its name to MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. in January 2017. MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY) currently trades at $23.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.39, implying the stock looks roughly 33.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $18.49 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the $23.17 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.60, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $11.14 (bear) to $24.48 (bull), the price of $23.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. reported revenue of ¥1.5T in FY2025 versus ¥988B in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥59.5B in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $10.9B · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) $1.54 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −25%, MINBY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $11.14 Fair Value $17.39 Bull $24.48
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $9.94 $17.72 $30.59 74
Growth DCF $9.96 $17.39 $29.50 73
Owner Earnings $8.46 $15.21 $26.36 71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.94 $17.72 $30.59 74
Owner Earnings $8.46 $15.21 $26.36 71
5Y Revenue Exit $10.97 $19.84 $31.65 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $16.86 $31.54 $49.60 70
5Y P/E Exit $11.10 $20.11 $30.08 67
10Y Revenue Exit $10.09 $18.29 $30.34 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.36 $26.68 $44.82 63
10Y P/E Exit $10.60 $18.49 $29.07 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.08 $24.50 $33.32 61
Lynch FV $6.11 $8.73 $11.34 58
PEG = 1.0 $6.11 $8.73 $11.34 55
EPV $9.57 $11.36 $12.91 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.08 $18.78 $23.47 63
P/S Multiple $11.40 $15.20 $19.00 58
P/B Multiple $11.40 $15.20 $19.00 55
EV/EBIT $17.00 $23.04 $29.08 66
EV/EBITDA $22.44 $30.30 $38.15 67
EV/Revenue $11.81 $17.35 $22.90 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.67 $7.60 $11.35 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.96 $17.39 $29.50 73
Rev-Margin DCF $10.97 $19.65 $30.37 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.42 $10.08 $11.31 68
ROIC Compounder $9.57 $11.36 $15.17 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.68 $15.26 $19.84 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.8% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.6%

MINBY screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)77 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)48 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)24 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.84 $91.12 +10%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,910 TWD 519.57 TWD −73%
Corning Incorporated GLW $159.69 $34.01 −79%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 250.50 TWD 293.80 TWD +17%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥54.84 ¥18.55 −66%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,507,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −89%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥198.12 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $213.48 $140.75 −34%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,050 TWD 800.51 TWD −84%
Yageo Corporation 2327 580.00 TWD 527.64 TWD −9%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MINBY

Frequently asked questions

Is MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.39 versus a price of $23.17, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MINBY?
Our model-based fair value for MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is $17.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.17.
What is the quality score of MINBY?
MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.14, optimistic scenario $24.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.39, about −25% upside versus a price of $23.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.14, optimistic scenario $24.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.7T (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. pay a dividend?
MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +20.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +11.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MINBY use?
Our models discount MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. that is +20.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. grew +11.4 % a year. The price currently implies +20.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (+20.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.06 %: that much free cash flow MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. it is $17.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $23.17. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MINBY trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.17, fair value $17.39, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MINBY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.39). For MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. the two are $5.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. worth?
The market values MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. at about $10.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $23.17; our models calculate a fair value of $17.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MINBY?
Our models span a range for MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc.: cautious scenario $11.14, base $17.39, optimistic $24.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $23.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MINBY?
MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 10.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
Balance-sheet figures for MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.9%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MINBY from its 52-week high?
MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. trades at $23.17, about 31% below its 52-week high of $33.39 and 51% above the low of $15.37 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $23.17, calculated fair value $17.39 (−25%), Quality Score 54/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MINBY calculated?
We run MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $23.17. Our model-based fair value is $17.39, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($11.14 to $24.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The market capitalisation of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is $10.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is 0.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
Earnings per share at MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. are $1.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The dividend yield of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is 1.2% (payout 18.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The net margin of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
The operating margin of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
Revenue at MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is growing +15.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY)?
Earnings per share at MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. are growing +214% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. (MINBY) carry?
The net debt of MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. is ¥249B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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