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Novatech Industries (MLNOV) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · FR · Market cap €15.1M

NI Novatech Industries MLNOV · PA
Price€16.20
Fair Value€18.40
Upside+13.6%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range €15.94 – €20.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €10.84 to €18.40 (+69.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from €15.94 (bear) to €20.86 (bull), base €18.40. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€19.80 €1.80 Fair Value €18.40 May 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.80 – €19.80 · fair‑value band €15.94 – €20.86 · the €16.20 price screens below the €18.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Novatech Industries (MLNOV) currently trades at €16.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €18.40, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Novatech Industries generated revenue of €63.4M at a net margin of 0.5%. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €8.6M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 62.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €15.94 (bear case) to €20.86 (bull case); at €16.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at 14%, MLNOV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €59.14 €76.34 €96.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF €59.76 €87.62 €120.29 74
Gordon GGM €0.2800 €0.4600 €0.6000 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €59.21 €79.40 €105.17 38
5Y Revenue Exit €59.76 €87.45 €122.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €35.44 €41.36 €47.45 41
10Y Revenue Exit €57.66 €80.53 €111.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €45.50 €52.99 €61.52 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.2800 €0.4600 €0.6000 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.2800 €0.4300 €0.5000 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €18.23 €20.70 €23.16 54
EV/Revenue €62.96 €85.30 €107.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €5.48 €7.35 €10.96 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €59.14 €76.34 €96.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF €59.76 €87.62 €120.29 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€79.40) versus Dividend Discount (€0.4300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €69.4M
Net margin -1.6%
Return on equity -11.4%
Free cash flow €5.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 62.7
Operating margin -1.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-1.10
Net cash €8.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Novatech Industries provides electronic product design and manufacturing solutions in Europe. The company serves aerospace and defense, naval, medical, mobility, energy, and industry sectors. Novatech Industries was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Lannion, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Novatech Industries reported revenue of €81.6M in FY2025 versus €54.3M in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€81.6M
Latest YoY
+28.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 €54.3M
FY22 €55.1M
FY23 €71.2M
FY24 €63.4M
FY25 €81.6M
Net income
FY21 €2.4M
FY22 −€486K
FY23 €2.3M
FY24 €303K
FY25 −€1.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Novatech Industries Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLNOV

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +14% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.57× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Novatech Industries (MLNOV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €18.40 versus a price of €16.20, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLNOV?
Our model-based fair value for Novatech Industries is €18.40 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €16.20.
What is the quality score of MLNOV?
Novatech Industries has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Novatech Industries (MLNOV)?
Novatech Industries reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €63.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MLNOV?
The net profit margin of Novatech Industries is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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