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Molina Healthcare, Inc (MOH) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $10.0B

MH Molina Healthcare, Inc logo Molina Healthcare, Inc MOH · US
Price$196.56
Fair Value$200.60
Upside+2.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $149.48 – $259.06

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $160.95 to $200.60 (+24.6%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +32.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$262.28 $105.03 Fair Value $200.60 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $105.03 – $262.28 · fair‑value band $149.48 – $259.06 · the $196.56 price screens below the $200.60 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Molina Healthcare, Inc (MOH) currently trades at $196.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $200.60 — implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Molina Healthcare, Inc generated revenue of $43.1B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $298M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $43.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow −$636M FY2025
P/E ratio 51.7
More key figures
Operating margin 1.7%
EPS (TTM) $3.73
EPS growth (YoY) -95.0%
Net cash $298M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces in the United States. It operates in four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Molina Healthcare, Inc reported revenue of $45.4B in FY2025 versus $27.8B in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was $472M in FY2025, compounding −8.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +13.1%/yr
FY21 $27.8B
FY22 $32.0B
FY23 $34.1B
FY24 $40.7B
FY25 $45.4B
Net income −8.0%/yr
FY21 $659M
FY22 $792M
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $472M

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Similar stocks

6 more Healthcare Plans stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UnitedHealth Group UNH 7,169 MXN 292.06 MXN -96%
CVS Health Corporation CVS C$23.81 C$17.91 -25%
Elevance Health, Inc E1LV34 R$421.98 R$340.32 -19%
The Cigna Group CI $295.81 $500.99 +69%
Humana Inc HUM $349.80 $212.91 -39%
Centene Corporation CNC $65.34 $248.86 +281%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Molina Healthcare, Inc (MOH) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $200.60 versus a price of $196.56 — about +2% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MOH?
Our 21-model fair value for Molina Healthcare, Inc is $200.60 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $196.56.
What is the quality score of MOH?
Molina Healthcare, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Molina Healthcare, Inc (MOH)?
Molina Healthcare, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $43.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MOH?
The net profit margin of Molina Healthcare, Inc is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.