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Medacta Group SA (MOVE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Medacta Group SA CHF 81.94, price CHF 114, upside -28.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Healthcare · CH · ISIN CH0468525222

MG Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Medacta Group SA

MOVE · SW

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value CHF 81.94 · Overvalued (−28%)
!Quality 57/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.9 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 14.0% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.96% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 65/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!The models disagree: range CHF 40.44 to CHF 139.41
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

CHF 174.65 CHF 76.78 Fair Value CHF 81.94 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 76.78 – CHF 174.65 · fair‑value band CHF 40.44 – CHF 139.41 · the CHF 114.00 price screens above the CHF 81.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Medacta Group SA develops, manufactures, and distributes orthopedic and neurosurgical medical devices Latin America, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Middle East and Africa. It offers personalized 3D planning tools for use in hip, knee, shoulder, joint replacement, sports medicine, and spine surgery.

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Medacta Group SA develops, manufactures, and distributes orthopedic and neurosurgical medical devices Latin America, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Middle East and Africa. It offers personalized 3D planning tools for use in hip, knee, shoulder, joint replacement, sports medicine, and spine surgery. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Castel San Pietro, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Medacta Group SA (MOVE) currently trades at CHF 114.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 81.94, implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of CHF 114.16 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the CHF 114.00 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at CHF 11.21, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: CHF 40.44 (bear) to CHF 139.41 (bull), the price of CHF 114.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Medacta Group SA reported revenue of €688M in FY2025 versus €363M in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was €96.1M in FY2025, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap CHF 2.8B · P/E ratio 25.9 · P/S ratio 3.61 · EPS (TTM) CHF 4.41 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 14.0% · Return on equity 22.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −28%, MOVE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear CHF 40.44 Fair Value CHF 81.94 Bull CHF 139.41
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 2.42 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF CHF 19.80 CHF 39.71 CHF 84.29 75
Growth DCF CHF 19.16 CHF 40.88 CHF 73.39 75
EPV CHF 39.65 CHF 46.55 CHF 52.50 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 19.80 CHF 39.71 CHF 84.29 75
Owner Earnings CHF 31.44 CHF 65.41 CHF 127.43 72
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 40.05 CHF 85.59 CHF 151.48 69
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 68.38 CHF 147.82 CHF 254.36 72
5Y P/E Exit CHF 54.92 CHF 118.26 CHF 195.77 68
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 31.21 CHF 72.33 CHF 143.37 62
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 51.94 CHF 118.59 CHF 233.00 64
10Y P/E Exit CHF 42.98 CHF 96.62 CHF 181.96 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 32.83 CHF 186.74 CHF 259.56 63
Lynch FV CHF 52.48 CHF 74.97 CHF 97.46 61
PEG = 1.0 CHF 52.48 CHF 74.97 CHF 97.46 57
EPV CHF 39.65 CHF 46.55 CHF 52.50 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 6.51 CHF 12.97 CHF 19.64 67
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 6.51 CHF 11.21 CHF 13.69 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 79.66 CHF 106.21 CHF 132.76 63
P/S Multiple CHF 61.55 CHF 82.07 CHF 102.59 58
P/B Multiple CHF 61.55 CHF 82.07 CHF 102.59 55
EV/EBIT CHF 70.02 CHF 94.71 CHF 119.39 66
EV/EBITDA CHF 96.45 CHF 129.95 CHF 163.44 67
EV/Revenue CHF 48.82 CHF 71.47 CHF 94.13 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 11.46 CHF 15.35 CHF 22.91 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 19.16 CHF 40.88 CHF 73.39 75
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 40.05 CHF 83.17 CHF 142.84 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 31.37 CHF 43.43 CHF 219.00 64
ROIC Compounder CHF 47.14 CHF 67.74 CHF 96.31 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 79.91 CHF 114.16 CHF 148.40 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+19.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21% vs 9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 17%
2025 sits 103% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+37.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +34.3% a year for the price and +8.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+12.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+11.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.4%

MOVE screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Devices · 361 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.25× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.41× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.95× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 113.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)63 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)91 · sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)19 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $103.69 $74.79 −28%
Stryker Corporation SYK $275.09 $302.60 +10%
Medtronic plc MDT $90.77 $65.57 −28%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $44.92 $49.41 +10%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $88.78 $82.04 −8%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €37.43 €35.22 −6%
DexCom, Inc DXCM $89.53 $98.48 +10%
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $66.27 $69.62 +5%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥156.68 ¥172.35 +10%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €21.85 €15.32 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Medacta Group SA (MOVE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 81.94 versus a price of CHF 114.00, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MOVE?
Our model-based fair value for Medacta Group SA is CHF 81.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 114.00.
What is the quality score of MOVE?
Medacta Group SA has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 81.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 40.44, optimistic scenario CHF 139.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Medacta Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 81.94, about −28% upside versus a price of CHF 114.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 40.44, optimistic scenario CHF 139.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
Medacta Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €684M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Medacta Group SA pay a dividend?
Medacta Group SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Medacta Group SA would have to grow free cash flow by +37.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MOVE use?
Our models discount Medacta Group SA at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Medacta Group SA that is +37.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Medacta Group SA (MOVE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Medacta Group SA grew +17.9 % a year. The price currently implies +37.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Medacta Group SA (MOVE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Medacta Group SA (+37.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.24 %: that much free cash flow Medacta Group SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Medacta Group SA it is CHF 81.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of CHF 114.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Medacta Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MOVE trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 114.00, fair value CHF 81.94, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOVE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 114.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 81.94). For Medacta Group SA the two are CHF 32.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Medacta Group SA worth?
The market values Medacta Group SA at about CHF 2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is CHF 114.00; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 81.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOVE?
Our models span a range for Medacta Group SA: cautious scenario CHF 40.44, base CHF 81.94, optimistic CHF 139.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price CHF 114.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOVE?
Medacta Group SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 81.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.4, P/S 4.9, EV/EBITDA 20.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Medacta Group SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.8%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOVE from its 52-week high?
Medacta Group SA trades at CHF 114.00, about 35% below its 52-week high of CHF 174.65 and 5% above the low of CHF 109.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 81.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Medacta Group SA?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Stryker Corporation, Medtronic plc, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Medacta Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price CHF 114.00, calculated fair value CHF 81.94 (−28%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOVE calculated?
We run Medacta Group SA through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 81.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Medacta Group SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 114.00. Our model-based fair value is CHF 81.94, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Medacta Group SA right now?
The model range is unusually wide (CHF 40.44 to CHF 139.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Medacta Group SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The market capitalisation of Medacta Group SA is CHF 2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Medacta Group SA is 3.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
Earnings per share at Medacta Group SA are CHF 4.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The dividend yield of Medacta Group SA is 1.0% (payout 24.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The net margin of Medacta Group SA is 14.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Medacta Group SA is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Medacta Group SA is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
The operating margin of Medacta Group SA is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
Revenue at Medacta Group SA is growing +12.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Medacta Group SA (MOVE)?
Earnings per share at Medacta Group SA are growing +1.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Medacta Group SA (MOVE) carry?
The net debt of Medacta Group SA is €229M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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