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MPDL (MPDL) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹249M

M MPDL MPDL · BSE
Price₹33.60
Fair Value₹32.63
Upside-2.9%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Low Range ₹21.54 – ₹40.79

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −13.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹55.19 ₹29.61 Fair Value ₹32.63 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹29.61 – ₹55.19 · fair‑value band ₹21.54 – ₹40.79 · the ₹33.60 price screens above the ₹32.63 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

MPDL (MPDL) currently trades at ₹33.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹32.63 — implying the stock looks roughly 2.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, MPDL generated revenue of ₹203M at a net margin of -39.3%. It earns a return on equity of -8.5%. Net debt stands at ₹598M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹21.54 (bear case) to ₹40.79 (bull case); at ₹33.60, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 118% fair-value upside — at -3%, MPDL screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹203M
Revenue growth (YoY) +474%
Net margin -39.3%
Return on equity -8.5%
Free cash flow −₹86.6M FY2026
Operating margin -84.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-10.76
Net debt ₹598M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

MPDL reported revenue of ₹203M in FY2026 versus ₹75.6M in FY2022, a compound +28.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹79.8M in FY2026.

Revenue +28.0%/yr
FY22 ₹75.6M
FY23 ₹142M
FY24 ₹73.4M
FY25 ₹58.0M
FY26 ₹203M
Net income
FY22 −₹24.9M
FY23 −₹38.4M
FY24 ₹185M
FY25 −₹41.7M
FY26 −₹79.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MPDL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPDL

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10 more Real Estate Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

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MEG MEG 1.98 PHP 4.95 PHP +150%
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DD DD 11.84 PHP 28.74 PHP +143%
DDPR DDPR 94.00 PHP 113.47 PHP +21%
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STR STR 1.02 PHP 2.55 PHP +150%
ALLHC ALLHC 1.10 PHP 1.00 PHP -9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MPDL (MPDL) undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹32.63 versus a price of ₹33.60 — about −3% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MPDL?
Our model-based fair value for MPDL is ₹32.63 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹33.60.
What is the quality score of MPDL?
MPDL has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of MPDL (MPDL)?
MPDL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹203M (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MPDL?
The net profit margin of MPDL is about -39.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.