Mpower Group Ltd (MPR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$1.7M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from A$0.0063 to A$0.0049 (−21.6%) since Jul 10, 2026.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0049 to A$0.0050), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0050 – A$0.0930 · fair‑value band A$0.0049 – A$0.0050 · the A$0.0050 price screens above the A$0.0049 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Mpower Group Ltd (MPR) currently trades at A$0.0050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0049, implying the stock looks roughly 2.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 1/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$4.4M. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -83.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0049 (bear case) to A$0.0050 (bull case); at A$0.0050, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -2%, MPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.0400) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 6 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
MPR Australia Limited provides on-grid and off-grid power solutions for blue chip corporate and government customers in Australia. The company operates through Energy Services and Energy Investments segments. It offers engineering, construction, maintenance, and asset management and development services for on-grid and off-grid power systems.
Full company description
MPR Australia Limited provides on-grid and off-grid power solutions for blue chip corporate and government customers in Australia. The company operates through Energy Services and Energy Investments segments. It offers engineering, construction, maintenance, and asset management and development services for on-grid and off-grid power systems. The company also provides design, construction, installation, and commissioning of power systems; and monitoring, and service and maintenance of power system assets. In addition, it develops and finances power system projects, as well as offers structured solutions for microgrid and renewable power system assets. Further, the company invests in clean energy assets; and develops and owns renewable energy and battery storage solutions. The company was formerly known as MPower Group Limited and changed its name to MPR Australia Limited in September 2025. MPR Australia Limited was incorporated in 1963 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mpower Group Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$11.0M in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$4.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Solar · 118 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $217.85 | $392.12 | +80% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $103.67 | $69.61 | -33% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥12.89 | ¥12.13 | -6% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,678 | ₹2,709 | +1% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.52 | ¥6.47 | +43% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $40.77 | $24.15 | -41% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.28 | ¥6.76 | -34% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.53 | ¥31.86 | +48% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,017 | ₹648.94 | -36% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.77 | ¥7.97 | -38% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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