Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $3.2T
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT · US
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −11.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $330.21 – $504.13 · fair‑value band $159.74 – $358.36 · the $365.46 price screens above the $274.17 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) currently trades at $365.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $274.17 — implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Microsoft Corporation generated revenue of $318B at a net margin of 39.3%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.0%. Net debt stands at $30.3B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Microsoft Corporation develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 commercial, enterprise mobility + security, windows commercial, power BI, exchange, sharepoint, Microsoft teams, security and compliance, and copilot; Microsoft 365 commercial products, such as Windows commercial on-premises and office licensed services; Microsoft 365 consumer products and cloud services, including Microsoft 365 consumer subscriptions, office licensed on-premises, and other consumer services; LinkedIn; dynamics products and cloud services, such as dynamics 365, cloud-based applications, and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. Its Intelligent Cloud segment provides Server products and cloud services comprising Azure and other cloud services, GitHub, Nuance Healthcare, virtual desktop offerings, and other cloud services; server products, including SQL and windows server, visual studio and system …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Microsoft Corporation reported revenue of $282B in FY2025 versus $168B in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was $102B in FY2025, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2021.
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External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $175.07 | $68.15 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.