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Mattr Corp (MTTRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Mattr Corp $6.48, price $15.33, upside -57.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Mattr Corp
MTTRF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $6.48 · Strongly overvalued (−57.7%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 29/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.34 – $15.36 · fair‑value band $3.77 – $9.43 · the $15.33 price screens above the $6.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Mattr Corp. operates as a materials technology company that serves the infrastructure markets, including electrification, transportation, mining, energy, communication and water management markets in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
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Mattr Corp. operates as a materials technology company that serves the infrastructure markets, including electrification, transportation, mining, energy, communication and water management markets in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments: Composite Technologies and Connection Technologies. The Composite Technologies segment manufactures flexible composite pipes used for oil and gas gathering lines and other applications under the Flexpipe brand; and fiberglass reinforced plastic fuel and water underground storage tanks, as well as HydroChain stormwater management products, including infiltration chambers for the retail fuel, water, stormwater and wastewater, and oil and gas markets under the Xerxes brand. The Connection Technologies segment manufactures heat-shrinkable products, including thin, medium, and heavy-walled tubing; sleeves and molded products, as well as heat-shrink accessories and equipment; manufacturers of engineered; and low-voltage wires, cables, connectors, and harness solutions for control, instrumentation, thermocouple, power, and industrial automation applications. The company was formerly known as Shawcor Ltd. and changed its name to Mattr Corp. in January 2024. Mattr Corp. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada.
Stock analysis
Mattr Corp (MTTRF) currently trades at $15.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.48, 57.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $6.80 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $15.33 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.79, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.77 (bear) to $9.43 (bull), the price of $15.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Mattr Corp reported revenue of C$1.3B in FY2025 versus C$1.2B in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$46.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $950M · P/E ratio 170.3 · P/S ratio 6.25 · EPS (TTM) $0.0900 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 6.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 188% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −58%, MTTRF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.77
Fair Value $6.48
Bull $9.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0900 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$3.99
$6.51
$9.58
80
Growth DCF
$4.16
$6.50
$9.22
78
Owner Earnings
$4.93
$7.74
$11.16
76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$3.99
$6.51
$9.58
80
Owner Earnings
$4.93
$7.74
$11.16
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$3.44
$6.71
$10.68
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.98
$5.92
$9.13
73
5Y P/E Exit
$2.17
$4.51
$6.77
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$3.43
$6.19
$9.45
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$3.35
$5.71
$8.43
67
10Y P/E Exit
$2.89
$4.84
$6.89
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$3.62
$7.51
$9.49
66
EPV
$1.98
$2.79
$3.47
73
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$5.58
$7.45
$9.31
63
P/S Multiple
$6.78
$9.04
$11.30
58
P/B Multiple
$6.78
$9.04
$11.30
55
EV/EBIT
$2.23
$4.30
$6.38
63
EV/EBITDA
$3.20
$5.60
$7.99
65
EV/Revenue
$3.56
$6.80
$10.04
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.31
$5.77
$8.61
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$4.16
$6.50
$9.22
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$3.44
$6.85
$10.45
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$6.50
$6.61
$6.99
71
ROIC Compounder
$1.98
$2.79
$3.47
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$4.20
$6.00
$7.79
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87
Profitability
35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
99
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+43.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.5% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 6%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.0% a year for the price and +1.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.5%
MTTRF screens overvalued: fair value 58% below the price. Compare with SLB N.V →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
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| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥116.02 | ¥127.62 | +10% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 324.80 | kr 251.18 | −23% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.30 | €2.72 | −37% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €210.00 | €231.00 | +10% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.12 | ¥13.04 | +8% |
| NOV Inc NOV | $18.73 | $8.59 | −54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Mattr Corp (MTTRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.48 versus a price of $15.33, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTTRF?
Our model-based fair value for Mattr Corp is $6.48 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.33.
What is the quality score of MTTRF?
Mattr Corp has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.48 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.77, optimistic scenario $9.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mattr Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.48, about −58% upside versus a price of $15.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.77, optimistic scenario $9.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
Mattr Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mattr Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +23.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.5 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MTTRF use?
Our models discount Mattr Corp at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mattr Corp that is +23.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mattr Corp (MTTRF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mattr Corp grew +1.5 % a year. The price currently implies +23.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mattr Corp (MTTRF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mattr Corp (+23.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.04 %: that much free cash flow Mattr Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mattr Corp it is $6.48 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $15.33. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mattr Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, MTTRF trades above its calculated fair value: price $15.33, fair value $6.48, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTTRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.48). For Mattr Corp the two are $8.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mattr Corp worth?
The market values Mattr Corp at about $950M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $15.33; our models calculate a fair value of $6.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTTRF?
Our models span a range for Mattr Corp: cautious scenario $3.77, base $6.48, optimistic $9.43 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $15.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is MTTRF from its 52-week high?
Mattr Corp trades at $15.33, at its 52-week high of $15.33 and 188% above the low of $5.32 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mattr Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mattr Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $15.33, calculated fair value $6.48 (−58%), Quality Score 59/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTTRF calculated?
We run Mattr Corp through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mattr Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $15.33. Our model-based fair value is $6.48, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mattr Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($3.77 to $9.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Mattr Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The market capitalisation of Mattr Corp is $950M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Mattr Corp is 170.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mattr Corp is 6.25 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
Earnings per share at Mattr Corp are $0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 170.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The net margin of Mattr Corp is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mattr Corp is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mattr Corp is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
The operating margin of Mattr Corp is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
Revenue at Mattr Corp is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mattr Corp (MTTRF)?
Earnings per share at Mattr Corp are growing −85.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mattr Corp (MTTRF) carry?
The net debt of Mattr Corp is C$86.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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