Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. $3.71, price $3.01, upside +23.3%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.19 – $14.41 · fair‑value band $2.42 – $4.59 · the $3.01 price screens below the $3.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Niagen Bioscience, Inc. operates as a bioscience company engages in developing healthy aging products. The company operates through Consumer products; Ingredients; and Pharmaceutical Segments.
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Niagen Bioscience, Inc. operates as a bioscience company engages in developing healthy aging products. The company operates through Consumer products; Ingredients; and Pharmaceutical Segments. It provides finished dietary supplement products that contain its proprietary ingredients directly to consumers and distributors; nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide (NAD+), an essential coenzyme that regulates cellular metabolism; and develops and commercializes proprietary-based ingredient technologies, including food-grade, Niagen, and pharmaceutical-grade Niagen and supplies these ingredients as raw materials to the manufacturers of consumer products. In addition, it commercializes NAD+ precursor nicotinamide riboside as the flagship ingredient under NIAGEN brand name. The company distributes TRU NIAGEN products direct to consumers through its propriety e-commerce platform TRUNIAGEN.com, Amazon, and other internet marketplaces, as well as specialty retailers and authorized healthcare practitioners resellers. The company was formerly known as ChromaDex Corporation and changed its name to Niagen Bioscience, Inc. in March 2025. Niagen Bioscience, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
Stock analysis
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE) currently trades at $3.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.71, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $6.33 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $3.01 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6400, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $2.42 (bear) to $4.59 (bull), the price of $3.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. reported revenue of $129M in FY2025 versus $67.4M in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was $17.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $279M · P/E ratio 14.3 · P/S ratio 1.93 · EPS (TTM) $0.2100 · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 27.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.3% · Operating margin 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 23%, NAGE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.42Fair Value $3.71Bull $4.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1542 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.9% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−33.5% (2020) → 11.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+13.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.5% a year for the price and +10.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Niagen Bioscience, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+23% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Niagen Bioscience, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NAGE
Frequently asked questions
Is Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.71 versus a price of $3.01, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NAGE?
Our model-based fair value for Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is $3.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.01.
What is the quality score of NAGE?
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.42, optimistic scenario $4.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Niagen Bioscience, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.71, about +23% upside versus a price of $3.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.42, optimistic scenario $4.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $130M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Niagen Bioscience, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +15.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NAGE use?
Our models discount Niagen Bioscience, Inc. at 15.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 2.06, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Niagen Bioscience, Inc. that is +15.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Niagen Bioscience, Inc. grew +16.9 % a year. The price currently implies +15.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (+15.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.11 %: that much free cash flow Niagen Bioscience, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Niagen Bioscience, Inc. it is $3.71 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.01. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Niagen Bioscience, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NAGE trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.01, fair value $3.71, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NAGE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.71). For Niagen Bioscience, Inc. the two are $0.7000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Niagen Bioscience, Inc. worth?
The market values Niagen Bioscience, Inc. at about $279M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.01; our models calculate a fair value of $3.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NAGE?
Our models span a range for Niagen Bioscience, Inc.: cautious scenario $2.42, base $3.71, optimistic $4.59 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NAGE?
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.6, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 17.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 27.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NAGE from its 52-week high?
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. trades at $3.01, about 70% below its 52-week high of $9.90 and 2% above the low of $2.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Niagen Bioscience, Inc.?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Niagen Bioscience, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.01, calculated fair value $3.71 (+23%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NAGE calculated?
We run Niagen Bioscience, Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Niagen Bioscience, Inc. currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $3.01. Our model-based fair value is $3.71, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Niagen Bioscience, Inc. right now?
Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($2.42 to $4.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Niagen Bioscience, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
The market capitalisation of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is $279M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is 1.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
Earnings per share at Niagen Bioscience, Inc. are $0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
The net margin of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is 27.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is −13.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
The operating margin of Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
Revenue at Niagen Bioscience, Inc. is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE)?
Earnings per share at Niagen Bioscience, Inc. are growing +16.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE) hold?
Niagen Bioscience, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $62.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026