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Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited (NH) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · IN · Market cap ₹369B

NH Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited NH · BSE
Price₹1,816
Fair Value₹412.77
Upside-77.3%
Quality63/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 14.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 70/100

Risks

!Trades 77% ABOVE our fair value of ₹412.77
!Weak Growth
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!The models disagree: range ₹227.00 to ₹733.40
Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range ₹227.00 – ₹733.40 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Share price −7.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹733.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹227.00 to ₹733.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,260 ₹386.82 Fair Value ₹412.77 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹386.82 – ₹2,260 · fair‑value band ₹227.00 – ₹733.40 · the ₹1,816 price screens above the ₹412.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited (NH) currently trades at ₹1,816, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹412.77, implying the stock looks roughly 77.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited generated revenue of ₹59.6B at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.2%. Net debt stands at ₹41.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹227.00 (bear case) to ₹733.40 (bull case); at ₹1,816, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -77%, NH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹202.92 ₹358.69 ₹635.92 80
Residual Income ₹270.11 ₹355.21 ₹1,264 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹261.15 ₹508.97 ₹809.71 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹183.63 ₹342.71 ₹648.86 38
Owner Earnings ₹80.33 ₹236.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹261.15 ₹500.46 ₹848.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹410.33 ₹758.81 ₹1,220 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹299.55 ₹566.97 ₹886.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹213.67 ₹392.99 ₹588.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹321.28 ₹556.47 ₹811.61 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹252.50 ₹435.08 ₹610.66 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹269.72 ₹329.66 ₹370.87 54
EPV ₹346.38 ₹441.36 ₹525.80 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹654.48 ₹872.63 ₹1,091 63
P/S Multiple ₹505.73 ₹674.31 ₹842.88 58
P/B Multiple ₹505.73 ₹674.31 ₹842.88 55
EV/EBIT ₹570.65 ₹824.83 ₹1,079 53
EV/EBITDA ₹668.45 ₹955.22 ₹1,242 54
EV/Revenue ₹352.36 ₹585.60 ₹818.85 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹111.70 ₹149.68 ₹223.40 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹202.92 ₹358.69 ₹635.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹261.15 ₹508.97 ₹809.71 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹270.11 ₹355.21 ₹1,264 76
ROIC Compounder ₹346.38 ₹465.19 ₹595.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹461.35 ₹659.08 ₹856.80 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹674.31) versus Asset-Based (₹149.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹59.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.4%
Net margin 14.2%
Return on equity 23.2%
Free cash flow ₹7.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 43.7
More key figures
Operating margin 19.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹41.56
EPS growth (YoY) +30.1%
Net debt ₹41.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited engages in the medical and healthcare services in India and internationally. It operates through two segments, Medical and Healthcare Related Services; and Others. The company acquires, owns, and operates hospitals, clinics, health centers, diagnostic centres, nursing homes and other related activities.

Full company description

Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited engages in the medical and healthcare services in India and internationally. It operates through two segments, Medical and Healthcare Related Services; and Others. The company acquires, owns, and operates hospitals, clinics, health centers, diagnostic centres, nursing homes and other related activities. It offers cardiology, cardiac surgery, nephrology, urology, neurology, neuro-surgery, endocrinology, orthopedics, internal medicines, obstetrics, gynecology, pediatrics, neonatology, gastroenterology, and oncology services. The company engages in health insurance business. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited reported revenue of ₹78.6B in FY2025 versus ₹91.9B in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.1B in FY2025, compounding −35.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹78.6B
Latest YoY
−24.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
Revenue −3.8%/yr
FY21 ₹91.9B
FY22 ₹106B
FY23 ₹96.3B
FY24 ₹104B
FY25 ₹78.6B
Net income −35.8%/yr
FY21 ₹47.3B
FY22 ₹39.2B
FY23 ₹32.0B
FY24 ₹27.3B
FY25 ₹8.1B

NH screens 77% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NH

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.03× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 22
FUTURE87 · sector 24
PAST93 · sector 29
HEALTH49 · sector 90
DIVIDEND5 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited (NH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹412.77 versus a price of ₹1,816, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NH?
Our model-based fair value for Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited is ₹412.77 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,816.
What is the quality score of NH?
Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited (NH)?
Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹59.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NH?
The net profit margin of Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited is about 14.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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