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NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation (NMTC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $28.6M

NM NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation logo NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation NMTC · US
Price$1.63
Fair Value$0.6375
Upside-60.9%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -52.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.4165 – $0.7990 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −45.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7990). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.4165 to $0.7990) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$44.94 $1.55 Fair Value $0.6375 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.55 – $44.94 · fair‑value band $0.4165 – $0.7990 · the $1.63 price screens above the $0.6375 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation (NMTC) currently trades at $1.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6375, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation generated revenue of $12.7M at a net margin of -52.2%. Revenue grew 72.5% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4165 (bear case) to $0.7990 (bull case); at $1.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -61%, NMTC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.4100 $0.5400 $0.8100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4100 $0.5400 $0.8100 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +72.5%
Net margin -52.2%
Return on equity -204%
Free cash flow −$2.9M FY2025
Operating margin -87.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.8900
Net cash $6.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation, a medical technology company, provides solutions for continuous electroencephalogram (cEEG) and stereoelectrocencephalography (sEEG) recording in the United States.

Full company description

NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation, a medical technology company, provides solutions for continuous electroencephalogram (cEEG) and stereoelectrocencephalography (sEEG) recording in the United States. The company also provides solutions for spinal cord stimulation, brain stimulation, drug delivery and ablation solutions for patients suffering from epilepsy, trigeminal neuralgia, Parkinson's disease, dystonia, essential tremors, and chronic pain due to failed back surgeries and other pain-related neurological disorders. The company has a collaboration with the Department of Neurology's Division of Epilepsy at the University of Minnesota Medical School to advance a study evaluating epilepsy therapies. The company is based in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation reported revenue of $12.1M in FY2025 versus $178K in FY2021, a compound +187.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 34/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.1M
Latest YoY
+250.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+313.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.4%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+85.2%
Revenue +187.1%/yr
FY21 $178K
FY22 $171K
FY23 $2.0M
FY24 $3.5M
FY25 $12.1M
Net income
FY21 −$9.9M
FY22 −$10.0M
FY23 −$11.9M
FY24 −$12.3M
FY25 −$3.6M

NMTC screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NMTC

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Below median
Return on assets -72% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -52% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -88% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 73% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.25× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 8
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation (NMTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6375 versus a price of $1.63, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NMTC?
Our model-based fair value for NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation is $0.6375 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.63.
What is the quality score of NMTC?
NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation (NMTC)?
NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NMTC?
The net profit margin of NeuroOne Medical Technologies Corporation is about -52.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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