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NI Holdings (NODK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $326M

Price$15.84
Fair Value$2.51
Upside-84.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.27 – $3.76

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

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Analysis

NI Holdings (NODK) currently trades at $15.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.51 — implying the stock looks roughly 84.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

NI Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, underwrites property and casualty insurance products in the United States. Its products include private passenger auto, homeowners, farm owners, commercial multi-peril, crop hail, excess liability, dwelling, and federal multi-peril crop insurance policies, as well as non-standard automobile insurance policies. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Fargo, North Dakota. NI Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of Nodak Mutual Group, Inc.

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Frequently asked questions

Is NI Holdings (NODK) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.51 versus a price of $15.84 — about −84% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NODK?
Our 21-model fair value for NI Holdings is $2.51 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.84.
What is the quality score of NODK?
NI Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.