Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 10, 2026: fair value of Norte Grande CLP 5, price CLP 15, upside -67.5%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.48 CLP – 16.00 CLP · fair‑value band 3.56 CLP – 5.93 CLP · the 14.59 CLP price screens above the 4.74 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Norte Grande S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in investing in shares and other financial instruments in Chile. It is also involved in the production and marketing of specialty fertilizers, iodine, lithium, and industrial chemicals, as well as specialty plant nutrients, derivatives, and potassium fertilizers.
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Norte Grande S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in investing in shares and other financial instruments in Chile. It is also involved in the production and marketing of specialty fertilizers, iodine, lithium, and industrial chemicals, as well as specialty plant nutrients, derivatives, and potassium fertilizers. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Norte Grande S.A. is a subsidiary of Inversiones SQYA S.A.
Stock analysis
Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN) currently trades at 14.59 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.74 CLP, 67.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 8 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 3.56 CLP (bear) to 5.93 CLP (bull), the price of 14.59 CLP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Norte Grande reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $25.0M in FY2021. Reported net income was $94.7M in FY2025, compounding −20.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.9T CLP (≈ $2.9B) · P/E ratio 26.5 · EPS (TTM) 0.5500 CLP · Return on equity 5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · EPS growth (YoY) +50.4% · Free cash flow −$5.8M · Net debt $237M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −68%, NORTEGRAN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.56 CLPFair Value 4.74 CLPBull 5.93 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4159 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+192.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+145.5%
’17
’18
’19
’21
’22
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2017 to 2022 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3,439% → 37%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−67.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.4% · Above median
Return on assets−0.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)26.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.43× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 81
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Norte Grande Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NORTEGRAN
Frequently asked questions
Is Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.74 CLP versus the last price from Jul 10, 2026 of 14.59 CLP, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NORTEGRAN?
Our model-based fair value for Norte Grande is 4.74 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 10, 2026): 14.59 CLP.
What is the quality score of NORTEGRAN?
Norte Grande has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.74 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.56 CLP, optimistic scenario 5.93 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Norte Grande stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.74 CLP, about −68% upside versus the last price from Jul 10, 2026 of 14.59 CLP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.56 CLP, optimistic scenario 5.93 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Norte Grande it is 4.74 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 14.59 CLP. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Norte Grande stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NORTEGRAN trades above its calculated fair value: price 14.59 CLP, fair value 4.74 CLP, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NORTEGRAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.59 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.74 CLP). For Norte Grande the two are 9.85 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Norte Grande worth?
The market values Norte Grande at about 2.9T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 14.59 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 4.74 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NORTEGRAN?
Our models span a range for Norte Grande: cautious scenario 3.56 CLP, base 4.74 CLP, optimistic 5.93 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 14.59 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NORTEGRAN?
Norte Grande trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.74 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Norte Grande (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.4%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NORTEGRAN from its 52-week high?
Norte Grande trades at 14.59 CLP, about 9% below its 52-week high of 16.00 CLP and 120% above the low of 6.62 CLP (as of Jul 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.74 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Norte Grande?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Norte Grande stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 14.59 CLP, calculated fair value 4.74 CLP (−68%), Quality Score 60/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NORTEGRAN calculated?
We run Norte Grande through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.74 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Norte Grande itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 10, 2026 and stands at 14.59 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 4.74 CLP, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Norte Grande right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.93 CLP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Norte Grande
How large is the market capitalisation of Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
The market capitalisation of Norte Grande is 2.9T CLP (≈ $2.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
Earnings per share at Norte Grande are 0.5500 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Norte Grande is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Norte Grande is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN)?
Earnings per share at Norte Grande are growing +50.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN) generate?
The free cash flow of Norte Grande is −$5.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Norte Grande (NORTEGRAN) carry?
The net debt of Norte Grande is $237M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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