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Novotek AB (NTEK-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 562M SEK (≈ $58.8M) · ISIN SE0000567752

What is Novotek AB really worth?

NA Novotek AB NTEK-B · ST
Pricekr 64.00
Fair Valuekr 105.82
Upside+65.3%
Quality58/100

A solid business, trading 40% below our fair value of kr 105.82.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.5 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Weak on future: 7 out of 100

For context

·2.81% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 71.59 – kr 146.69

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +8.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 71.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 71.59 to kr 146.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 114.66 kr 33.16 Fair Value kr 105.82 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 33.16 – kr 114.66 · fair‑value band kr 71.59 – kr 146.69 · the kr 64.00 price screens below the kr 105.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Novotek AB (NTEK-B) currently trades at kr 64.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 105.82, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 100.98 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 64.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 16.88, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Novotek AB generated revenue of 505M SEK at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 116M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 71.59 (bear case) to kr 146.69 (bull case); at kr 64.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at 65%, NTEK-B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.02 per share, which is 1.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence kr 55.14 kr 72.57 kr 95.21 82
Growth DCF kr 55.57 kr 70.94 kr 89.78 80
Owner Earnings kr 69.00 kr 92.13 kr 122.17 78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence kr 55.14 kr 72.57 kr 95.21 82
Owner Earnings kr 69.00 kr 92.13 kr 122.17 78
5Y Revenue Exit kr 59.67 kr 86.36 kr 119.92 73
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 86.18 kr 135.04 kr 191.36 75
5Y P/E Exit kr 77.10 kr 118.37 kr 160.93 71
10Y Revenue Exit kr 55.96 kr 78.28 kr 107.24 67
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 72.63 kr 108.85 kr 156.19 68
10Y P/E Exit kr 67.38 kr 98.39 kr 135.34 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 29.22 kr 83.10 kr 109.48 65
Lynch FV kr 16.96 kr 24.23 kr 31.50 61
PEG = 1.0 kr 16.96 kr 24.23 kr 31.50 57
EPV kr 51.90 kr 57.25 kr 61.70 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 90.23 kr 120.31 kr 150.38 63
P/S Multiple kr 54.78 kr 73.04 kr 91.30 58
P/B Multiple kr 54.78 kr 73.04 kr 91.30 55
EV/EBIT kr 117.73 kr 152.74 kr 187.75 66
EV/EBITDA kr 120.28 kr 156.14 kr 192.00 67
EV/Revenue kr 65.79 kr 88.55 kr 111.31 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 12.59 kr 16.88 kr 25.19 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 55.57 kr 70.94 kr 89.78 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 59.67 kr 86.56 kr 116.71 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 24.92 kr 32.32 kr 80.19 69
ROIC Compounder kr 53.58 kr 61.13 kr 68.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 70.69 kr 100.98 kr 131.28 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 100.98) versus Asset-Based (kr 16.88). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.2 as of Jun 8, 2026
P/S ratio 1.26 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 3.30 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 54.5%
Net margin 7.8% FY2025
Return on equity 15.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 505M SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.4% 3y avg +5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −45.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 42.0M SEK FY2025
Net cash 116M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Novotek AB delivers solutions in the industrial IT and automation areas. The company designs, implements, evolves, and maintains its customers' systems for production management and control. It serves the energy, food, pharmaceuticals, iron, steel, chemistry, petrochemicals, paper, pulp, manufacturing, and water and wastewater industries.

Full company description

Novotek AB delivers solutions in the industrial IT and automation areas. The company designs, implements, evolves, and maintains its customers' systems for production management and control. It serves the energy, food, pharmaceuticals, iron, steel, chemistry, petrochemicals, paper, pulp, manufacturing, and water and wastewater industries. The company is located in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Benelux, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Switzerland, Austria, Germany, and France. Novotek AB was incorporated in 1955 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Novotek AB reported revenue of 503M SEK in FY2025 versus 391M SEK in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 39.1M SEK in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
503M SEK
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+9.4% (6.6 + 2.8)
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 391M SEK
FY22 433M SEK
FY23 503M SEK
FY24 489M SEK
FY25 503M SEK
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 39.8M SEK
FY22 31.0M SEK
FY23 26.6M SEK
FY24 77.0M SEK
FY25 39.1M SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +14.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.7 %

of which total revenue +9.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +4.3 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Novotek AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTEK-B

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 488 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +65% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 33
FUTURE7 · sector 30
PAST61 · sector 32
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND56 · sector 35

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.59 $175.76 −25%
Accenture plc ACN $189.61 $334.27 +76%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,302 ₹3,473 +51%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,958 +69%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,282 ₹1,722 +34%
Fiserv, Inc FI C$5.13 C$8.07 +57%
Wipro Limited WIT $1.83 $3.51 +92%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $41.34 $19.28 −53%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $64.04 $132.01 +106%
Capgemini SE CAP €109.45 €222.79 +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Novotek AB (NTEK-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 105.82 versus a price of kr 64.00, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NTEK-B?
Our model-based fair value for Novotek AB is kr 105.82 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 64.00.
What is the quality score of NTEK-B?
Novotek AB has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Novotek AB (NTEK-B)?
Novotek AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 505M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NTEK-B?
The net profit margin of Novotek AB is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Novotek AB pay a dividend?
Novotek AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.81% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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