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Intellia Therapeutics, Inc (NTLA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $2.2B

IT Intellia Therapeutics, Inc logo Intellia Therapeutics, Inc NTLA · US
Price$11.94
Fair Value$2.55
Upside-78.6%
Quality33/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.69 – $3.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $21.62 to $2.55 (−88.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −29.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.69 to $3.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$176.78 $6.28 Fair Value $2.55 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.28 – $176.78 · fair‑value band $1.69 – $3.19 · the $11.94 price screens above the $2.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Intellia Therapeutics, Inc (NTLA) currently trades at $11.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.55, implying the stock looks roughly 78.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $66.1M. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -56.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $62.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.69 (bear case) to $3.19 (bull case); at $11.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -79%, NTLA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $2.40 $3.22 $4.81 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.40 $3.22 $4.81 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $66.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.5%
Return on equity -56.3%
Free cash flow −$355M FY2025
Operating margin -668%
EPS (TTM) $-3.52
More key figures
Net cash $62.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage genome editing company focused on developing potentially curative therapeutics using CRISPR/Cas9-based technologies. The company offers clustered, regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats ("CRISPR")/CRISPR associated 9 ("Cas9") technology for genome editing.

Full company description

Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage genome editing company focused on developing potentially curative therapeutics using CRISPR/Cas9-based technologies. The company offers clustered, regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats ("CRISPR")/CRISPR associated 9 ("Cas9") technology for genome editing. The company provides a modular platform, to advance in vivo and ex vivo therapies for diseases. The company's in vivo product candidates include nexiguran ziclumeran, or NTLA-2001 for the treatment of transthyretin amyloidosis; and NTLA-2002 for the treatment of hereditary angioedema. Additionally, it offers product candidates for the treatment of immuno-oncology and autoimmune diseases, and multiple in vivo programs to address diseases with significant unmet medical need by delivering gene editing therapeutics to organs outside the liver. The company has license and collaboration agreement with AvenCell Therapeutics, Inc. to develop allogeneic universal CAR-T cell therapies; Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. for the development of an allogeneic CD19 CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of various of B cell-mediated autoimmune diseases; ONK Therapeutics, Ltd. for the development of engineered NK cell therapies to cure patients with cancer; and ReCode Therapeutics, Inc. to develop novel genomic medicines for the treatment of cystic fibrosis. It also has collaboration agreements with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc., SparingVision SAS, and Rewrite Therapeutics Inc. The company was formerly known as AZRN, Inc. and changed its name to Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. in July 2014. Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Intellia Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $67.7M in FY2025 versus $33.1M in FY2021, a compound +19.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$413M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$67.7M
Latest YoY
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+27.3%
Revenue +19.6%/yr
FY21 $33.1M
FY22 $52.1M
FY23 $36.3M
FY24 $57.9M
FY25 $67.7M
Net income
FY21 −$260M
FY22 −$474M
FY23 −$481M
FY24 −$519M
FY25 −$413M

NTLA screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intellia Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTLA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -30% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -10% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 33.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Intellia Therapeutics, Inc (NTLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.55 versus a price of $11.94, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NTLA?
Our model-based fair value for Intellia Therapeutics, Inc is $2.55 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.94.
What is the quality score of NTLA?
Intellia Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Intellia Therapeutics, Inc (NTLA)?
Intellia Therapeutics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $66.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NTLA?
The net profit margin of Intellia Therapeutics, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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