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Nuchev Ltd (NUC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nuchev Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.09, upside -53.2%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · AU · ISIN AU0000067001

NL Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Nuchev Ltd

NUC · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0398 · Strongly overvalued (−53%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -18.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.8300 A$0.0700 Fair Value A$0.0398 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0700 – A$0.8300 · fair‑value band A$0.0326 – A$0.0470 · the A$0.0850 price screens above the A$0.0398 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Nuchev Limited, a health and nutrition solutions company, produces, markets, and sells nutritional and vitamin and dietary supplement products in Australia and China. The company offers goat and bovine milk-based formula and nutritional products under the Oli6 brand.

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Nuchev Limited, a health and nutrition solutions company, produces, markets, and sells nutritional and vitamin and dietary supplement products in Australia and China. The company offers goat and bovine milk-based formula and nutritional products under the Oli6 brand. It sells its products through pharmacy, grocery, and other retail channels, as well as e-commerce channels. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Nuchev Ltd (NUC) currently trades at A$0.0850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0398, implying the stock looks roughly 113.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0326 (bear) to A$0.0470 (bull), the price of A$0.0850 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Nuchev Ltd reported revenue of A$22.9M in FY2025 versus A$10.9M in FY2021, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$12.4M (≈ $8.8M) · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Net margin −16.7% · Return on equity −38.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −40.8% · Operating margin −19.5% · Revenue (TTM) A$24.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −53%, NUC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0326 Fair Value A$0.0398 Bull A$0.0470
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0700 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0700 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+102.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−57.3% (2020) → −15.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NUC screens 114% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 666 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −53% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −18% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −19% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.78× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)60 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.09 CHF 59.49 −23%
Danone S.A BN €60.14 €50.81 −16%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.79 $29.20 +23%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,387 ₹724.74 −48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.82 $34.66 −3%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 74.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.09 $51.01 +4%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nuchev Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NUC

Frequently asked questions

Is Nuchev Ltd (NUC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0398 versus a price of A$0.0850, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NUC?
Our model-based fair value for Nuchev Ltd is A$0.0398 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0850.
What is the quality score of NUC?
Nuchev Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0398 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0326, optimistic scenario A$0.0470. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nuchev Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0398, about −53% upside versus a price of A$0.0850 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0326, optimistic scenario A$0.0470. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
Nuchev Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$24.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nuchev Ltd it is A$0.0398 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0850. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nuchev Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NUC trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0850, fair value A$0.0398, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NUC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0398). For Nuchev Ltd the two are A$0.0452 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nuchev Ltd worth?
The market values Nuchev Ltd at about A$12.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0850; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0398 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NUC?
Our models span a range for Nuchev Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0326, base A$0.0398, optimistic A$0.0470 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nuchev Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −38.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NUC from its 52-week high?
Nuchev Ltd trades at A$0.0850, about 58% below its 52-week high of A$0.2000 and 21% above the low of A$0.0700 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0398 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nuchev Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nuchev Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0850, calculated fair value A$0.0398 (−53%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NUC calculated?
We run Nuchev Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0398, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nuchev Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0850. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0398, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nuchev Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0470). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Nuchev Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
The market capitalisation of Nuchev Ltd is A$12.4M (≈ $8.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nuchev Ltd is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
Earnings per share at Nuchev Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
The net margin of Nuchev Ltd is −16.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nuchev Ltd is −38.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nuchev Ltd is −40.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
The operating margin of Nuchev Ltd is −19.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nuchev Ltd (NUC)?
Revenue at Nuchev Ltd is growing +12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Nuchev Ltd (NUC) generate?
The free cash flow of Nuchev Ltd is −A$3.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nuchev Ltd (NUC) hold?
Nuchev Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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