Nova Organic PCL (NV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of Nova Organic PCL THB 0.85, price THB 0.76, upside +11.8%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Nova Organic Public Company Limited engages in the production and distribution of food supplements and health beverages in Thailand.
Show more
Nova Organic Public Company Limited engages in the production and distribution of food supplements and health beverages in Thailand. It offers nutritional supplement products for health and beauty under the Donutt brand; nutritional supplement products for holistic health care under the LIVNEST brand; nutritional supplements and other products under Lingzhi Plus Shitake, Matsutake, and Chompoo24 brands, as well as Q-Tine, a hair product. The Company is also involved in the contract manufacturing business. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Phra Samut Chedi, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Nova Organic PCL (NV) currently trades at 0.7600 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8500 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 10.6% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 0.5600 THB (bear) to 1.06 THB (bull), the price of 0.7600 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Nova Organic PCL reported revenue of 594M THB in FY2025 versus 1.2B THB in FY2021, a compound −16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −44.7M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 438M THB (≈ $13.1M) · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) −0.0800 THB · Net margin −7.5% · Return on equity −4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin −14.2% · Revenue (TTM) 760M THB.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 12%, NV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.5600 THBFair Value 0.8500 THBBull 1.06 THB
Price 0.7600 THB · Upside +11.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
44.2% (2020) → −8.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 633 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+11.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−14.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth54.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Nova Organic PCL (NV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.8500 THB versus a price of 0.7600 THB, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NV?
Our model-based fair value for Nova Organic PCL is 0.8500 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.7600 THB.
What is the quality score of NV?
Nova Organic PCL has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.8500 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5600 THB, optimistic scenario 1.06 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nova Organic PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.8500 THB, about +12% upside versus a price of 0.7600 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.5600 THB, optimistic scenario 1.06 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
Nova Organic PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 760M THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nova Organic PCL it is 0.8500 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 0.7600 THB. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nova Organic PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, NV trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.7600 THB, fair value 0.8500 THB, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.7600 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.8500 THB). For Nova Organic PCL the two are 0.0900 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nova Organic PCL worth?
The market values Nova Organic PCL at about 438M THB (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 0.7600 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.8500 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NV?
Our models span a range for Nova Organic PCL: cautious scenario 0.5600 THB, base 0.8500 THB, optimistic 1.06 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 0.7600 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nova Organic PCL (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −4.0%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NV from its 52-week high?
Nova Organic PCL trades at 0.7600 THB, about 4% below its 52-week high of 0.7900 THB and 55% above the low of 0.4900 THB (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.8500 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nova Organic PCL?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nova Organic PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 0.7600 THB, calculated fair value 0.8500 THB (+12%), Quality Score 53/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NV calculated?
We run Nova Organic PCL through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.8500 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Nova Organic PCL currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was 0.7600 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.8500 THB, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nova Organic PCL right now?
A fairly wide model range (0.5600 THB to 1.06 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Nova Organic PCL
How large is the market capitalisation of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
The market capitalisation of Nova Organic PCL is 438M THB (≈ $13.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nova Organic PCL is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
Earnings per share at Nova Organic PCL are −0.0800 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
The net margin of Nova Organic PCL is −7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nova Organic PCL is −4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nova Organic PCL is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
The operating margin of Nova Organic PCL is −14.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
Revenue at Nova Organic PCL is growing +54.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nova Organic PCL (NV)?
Earnings per share at Nova Organic PCL are growing −98.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nova Organic PCL (NV) generate?
The free cash flow of Nova Organic PCL is −18.8M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nova Organic PCL (NV) hold?
Nova Organic PCL holds more cash than debt, 15.3M THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Nova Organic PCL in the live analysis
One click puts Nova Organic PCL on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
