Novus Holdings (NVS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ZA · Market cap 2.0B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from R20.01 to R17.66 (−11.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 185% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R13.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R1.09 – R7.85 · fair‑value band R13.24 – R22.07 · the R6.20 price screens below the R17.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Novus Holdings (NVS) currently trades at R6.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R17.66, implying the stock looks roughly 184.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Novus Holdings generated revenue of 4.2B ZAR at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 638M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R13.24 (bear case) to R22.07 (bull case); at R6.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 185%, NVS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (R18.61) versus Dividend Discount (R5.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Novus Holdings Limited engages in the printing production and manufacturing operations in South Africa. The company operates through Print, Education, Packing, and Other segments. The Print segment engages in printing of books, magazines, retail inserts, and newspapers for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector.
Full company description
Novus Holdings Limited engages in the printing production and manufacturing operations in South Africa. The company operates through Print, Education, Packing, and Other segments. The Print segment engages in printing of books, magazines, retail inserts, and newspapers for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector. The Education segment develops educational content for various institutions, including government and private colleges. The Packaging segment produces flexible packaging products and prints flexible labels to beverage, petrochemical, and FMCG markets. The Other segment engages in the non-print/packaging and non-educational related transaction businesses; and provision of jumbo tissue wadding, which is used to produce household and consumer products, such as toilet paper, facial tissue, kitchen towels, and serviettes. Novus Holdings Limited was founded in 1905 and is based in Cape Town, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Novus Holdings reported revenue of R4.2B in FY2026 versus R3.0B in FY2022, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was R266M in FY2026, compounding +30.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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