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Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $5.5B

NM Nexstar Media Group logo Nexstar Media Group NXST · US
Price$167.01
Fair Value$151.97
Upside-9.0%
Quality51/100
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Evidence: High Range $58.89 – $262.18

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −0.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$231.71 $142.67 Fair Value $151.97 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $142.67 – $231.71 · fair‑value band $58.89 – $262.18 · the $167.01 price screens above the $151.97 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) currently trades at $167.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $151.97 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nexstar Media Group generated revenue of $5.1B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at $6.6B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $58.89 (bear case) to $262.18 (bull case); at $167.01, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside — at -9%, NXST screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.1%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow $743M FY2025
P/E ratio 38.4
More key figures
Operating margin 22.2%
EPS (TTM) $4.72
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +51.0%
Net debt $6.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. operates as a diversified media company that produces and distributes local and national news, sports, and entertainment contents on the television and digital platforms in the United States. It owns, operates, programs, or provides sales and other services to power television and radio stations; and provides television programming services. The company offers video and display advertising platforms through its own and various third party websites, mobile and over-the-top applications, digital media solutions to media publishers and advertisers, and a consumer product reviews platform. In addition, it owns NewsNation, a national cable news network; and WGN-AM, a Chicago radio station, as well as owns and operates digital multicast networks. Further, its digital assets include 125 local websites, 229 mobile applications, 110 connected television applications, television channels from The CW and The Hill, BestReviews, and advertising solutions. Additionally, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nexstar Media Group reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $4.6B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was $109M in FY2025, compounding −39.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +1.6%/yr
FY21 $4.6B
FY22 $5.2B
FY23 $4.9B
FY24 $5.4B
FY25 $4.9B
Net income −39.9%/yr
FY21 $834M
FY22 $971M
FY23 $346M
FY24 $722M
FY25 $109M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nexstar Media Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXST

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nexstar Media Group (NXST) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $151.97 versus a price of $167.01 — about −9% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NXST?
Our model-based fair value for Nexstar Media Group is $151.97 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $167.01.
What is the quality score of NXST?
Nexstar Media Group has a Quality Score of 51/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Nexstar Media Group (NXST)?
Nexstar Media Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NXST?
The net profit margin of Nexstar Media Group is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nexstar Media Group pay a dividend?
Nexstar Media Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.03% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.