TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation $25.18, price $18.20, upside +38.4%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.63 – $23.80 · fair‑value band $17.86 – $33.83 · the $18.20 price screens below the $25.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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TV Asahi Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the television (TV) broadcasting business in Japan and internationally. It operates through the TV Broadcasting Business, Internet Business, Shopping Business, and Other Businesses segments.
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TV Asahi Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the television (TV) broadcasting business in Japan and internationally. It operates through the TV Broadcasting Business, Internet Business, Shopping Business, and Other Businesses segments. The TV Broadcasting Business segment is involved in the sale of commercial time slots, as well as the operation of broadcasting satellite and commercial satellite businesses. Its Internet Business segment provides subscription-video-on-demand services and advertising video on demand service that comprises TVer and TV Asahi catch-up service; and operation of internet video ad distribution platform. The Shopping Business segment sells goods through television shopping programs, e-commerce, and retail. Its Other Businesses segment engages in music publication, special events production, sales of DVDs and videos, investments in motion pictures, property rental, and the sales and lease of broadcasting equipment. TV Asahi Holdings Corporation was incorporated in 1957 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY) currently trades at $18.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.18, implying the stock looks roughly 27.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $35.64 per share, and 20 of the 22 models we run sit above the $18.20 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $13.61, and 2 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $17.86 (bear) to $33.83 (bull), the price of $18.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation reported revenue of ¥360B in FY2026 versus ¥298B in FY2022, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥31.4B in FY2026, compounding +10.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.2B · P/E ratio 13.1 · P/S ratio 1.15 · EPS (TTM) $1.57 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at 38%, THDDY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $17.86Fair Value $25.18Bull $33.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9% vs 11%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 8%
2026 sits 85% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.3% a year for the price and −1.1% for the forecasts.
Compare TV Asahi Holdings Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 66 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+38% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
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Is TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.18 versus a price of $18.20, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THDDY?
Our model-based fair value for TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is $25.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.20.
What is the quality score of THDDY?
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.86, optimistic scenario $33.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TV Asahi Holdings Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.18, about +38% upside versus a price of $18.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $17.86, optimistic scenario $33.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥339B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does TV Asahi Holdings Corporation pay a dividend?
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.28% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TV Asahi Holdings Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +3.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of THDDY use?
Our models discount TV Asahi Holdings Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TV Asahi Holdings Corporation that is +3.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TV Asahi Holdings Corporation grew +6.4 % a year. The price currently implies +3.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (+3.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.50 %: that much free cash flow TV Asahi Holdings Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TV Asahi Holdings Corporation it is $25.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $18.20. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TV Asahi Holdings Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, THDDY trades below its calculated fair value: price $18.20, fair value $25.18, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of THDDY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($18.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.18). For TV Asahi Holdings Corporation the two are $6.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TV Asahi Holdings Corporation worth?
The market values TV Asahi Holdings Corporation at about $2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $18.20; our models calculate a fair value of $25.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about THDDY?
Our models span a range for TV Asahi Holdings Corporation: cautious scenario $17.86, base $25.18, optimistic $33.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $18.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of THDDY?
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $25.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 9.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
Balance-sheet figures for TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is THDDY from its 52-week high?
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation trades at $18.20, about 24% below its 52-week high of $23.80 and 2% above the low of $17.90 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TV Asahi Holdings Corporation?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, SES S.A, PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries,, MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TV Asahi Holdings Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $18.20, calculated fair value $25.18 (+38%), Quality Score 56/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of THDDY calculated?
We run TV Asahi Holdings Corporation through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $25.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. TV Asahi Holdings Corporation currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $18.20. Our model-based fair value is $25.18, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TV Asahi Holdings Corporation right now?
Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($17.86 to $33.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY) come from?
Earnings per share at TV Asahi Holdings Corporation grew +8.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin +0.5 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The market capitalisation of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is $2.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is 1.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
Earnings per share at TV Asahi Holdings Corporation are $1.57 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The dividend yield of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is 2.3% (payout 26.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The net margin of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is 8.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
The operating margin of TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
Revenue at TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY)?
Earnings per share at TV Asahi Holdings Corporation are growing −65.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (THDDY) hold?
TV Asahi Holdings Corporation holds more cash than debt, ¥36.4B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026