Observit AB (OBSE) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 395M SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Share price +11.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.5700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range kr 0.1340 – kr 0.7290 · fair‑value band kr 0.3800 – kr 0.5700 · the kr 0.6450 price screens above the kr 0.4800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Observit AB (OBSE) currently trades at kr 0.6450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.4800, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.3800 (bear case) to kr 0.5700 (bull case); at kr 0.6450, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -26%, OBSE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 0.0800) versus Dividend Discount (kr 0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when OBSE reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Observit AB provides video surveillance products and solutions in Sweden. The company develops a cloud-based subscription service that enables video surveillance across mobile fleets and serves as a platform for stakeholders, such as bus operators, transit authorities, and the police.
Full company description
Observit AB provides video surveillance products and solutions in Sweden. The company develops a cloud-based subscription service that enables video surveillance across mobile fleets and serves as a platform for stakeholders, such as bus operators, transit authorities, and the police. It also offers cameras and related services in buses, trains, and other public transportation, as well as depot control solutions. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Sundsvall, Sweden. Observit AB is a subsidiary of SpectrumOne AB (publ).
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Observit AB reported revenue of kr 63.5M in FY2025 versus kr 36.7M in FY2022, a compound +20.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 1.0M in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2022.
OBSE screens 26% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 488 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.98 | $175.76 | -26% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 300.07 MXN | -88% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,350 | ₹3,473 | +48% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,176 | ₹1,998 | +70% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,365 | ₹1,722 | +26% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹183.94 | ₹314.26 | +71% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,625 | ₹1,521 | -6% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 235,500 KRW | 235,321 KRW | -0% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,474 | ₹3,259 | -40% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 433,000 KRW | 186,323 KRW | -57% |
Compare Observit AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Observit AB (OBSE) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of OBSE?
What is the quality score of OBSE?
What is the net profit margin of OBSE?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Observit AB and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.