Observit AB (OBSE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Observit AB SEK 0.50, price SEK 0.69, upside -27.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range kr 0.1340 – kr 0.7290 · fair‑value band kr 0.4000 – kr 0.5900 · the kr 0.6870 price screens above the kr 0.5000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Observit AB provides video surveillance products and solutions in Sweden. The company develops a cloud-based subscription service that enables video surveillance across mobile fleets and serves as a platform for stakeholders, such as bus operators, transit authorities, and the police.
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Observit AB provides video surveillance products and solutions in Sweden. The company develops a cloud-based subscription service that enables video surveillance across mobile fleets and serves as a platform for stakeholders, such as bus operators, transit authorities, and the police. It also offers cameras and related services in buses, trains, and other public transportation, as well as depot control solutions. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Sundsvall, Sweden. Observit AB is a subsidiary of SpectrumOne AB (publ).
Stock analysis
Observit AB (OBSE) currently trades at kr 0.6870, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 37.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 0.1100 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the kr 0.6870 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 0.0500, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 0.4000 (bear) to kr 0.5900 (bull), the price of kr 0.6870 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Observit AB reported revenue of 63.5M SEK in FY2025 versus 36.7M SEK in FY2022, a compound +20.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.0M SEK in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 412M SEK (≈ $41.4M) · Net margin 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Free cash flow −6.1M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at −27%, OBSE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.0200 to kr 0.3000). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 0.4000Fair Value kr 0.5000Bull kr 0.5900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 487 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−27.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.93× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Observit AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OBSE
Frequently asked questions
Is Observit AB (OBSE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.5000 versus a price of kr 0.6870, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OBSE?
Our model-based fair value for Observit AB is kr 0.5000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 0.6870.
What is the quality score of OBSE?
Observit AB has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Observit AB (OBSE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.5000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.4000, optimistic scenario kr 0.5900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Observit AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.5000, about −27% upside versus a price of kr 0.6870 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.4000, optimistic scenario kr 0.5900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Observit AB (OBSE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Observit AB it is kr 0.5000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of kr 0.6870. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Observit AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, OBSE trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 0.6870, fair value kr 0.5000, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OBSE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 0.6870); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.5000). For Observit AB the two are kr 0.1870 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Observit AB worth?
The market values Observit AB at about 412M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is kr 0.6870; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.5000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OBSE?
Our models span a range for Observit AB: cautious scenario kr 0.4000, base kr 0.5000, optimistic kr 0.5900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price kr 0.6870). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Observit AB (OBSE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Observit AB (as of Sep 27, 2026): debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OBSE from its 52-week high?
Observit AB trades at kr 0.6870, about 2% below its 52-week high of kr 0.7030 and 82% above the low of kr 0.3780 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.5000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Observit AB?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Observit AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price kr 0.6870, calculated fair value kr 0.5000 (−27%), Quality Score 39/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OBSE calculated?
We run Observit AB through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.5000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Observit AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Observit AB (OBSE)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was kr 0.6870. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.5000, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Observit AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.5900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Observit AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Observit AB (OBSE)?
The market capitalisation of Observit AB is 412M SEK (≈ $41.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Observit AB (OBSE)?
The net margin of Observit AB is 1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Observit AB (OBSE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Observit AB is 3.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Observit AB (OBSE) generate?
The free cash flow of Observit AB is −6.1M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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