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Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of Ocean GeoLoop A/S NOK 1.25, price NOK 0.81, upside +54.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · NO

OG Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Ocean GeoLoop A/S

OCEAN · OL

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value kr 1.25 · Strongly undervalued (+54.3%)
Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +16.7 %/yr in NOK)
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Quality 38/100
Loss-making · -64.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 35.50 kr 0.4180 Fair Value kr 1.25 Mar 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range kr 0.4180 – kr 35.50 · fair‑value band kr 0.9300 – kr 1.57 · the kr 0.8100 price screens below the kr 1.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Ocean GeoLoop AS, a green tech company, develops point source carbon capture in Norway. It offers GeoLoop CC technology, which captures point source CO2 emissions without the use of amines or harmful process chemicals. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Verdal, Norway.

Stock analysis

Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN) currently trades at kr 0.8100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.25, implying the stock looks roughly 35.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.9300 (bear) to kr 1.57 (bull), the price of kr 0.8100 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ocean GeoLoop A/S reported revenue of 204M NOK in FY2025 versus 300K NOK in FY2021, a compound +410.4%/yr. Reported net income was −122M NOK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 143M NOK (≈ $14.9M) · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) kr −1.60 · Net margin −60.0% · Return on equity −116% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.8% · Operating margin −31.6% · Revenue (TTM) 191M NOK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 84% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 54%, OCEAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.9300 Fair Value kr 1.25 Bull kr 1.57
Price kr 0.8100 · Upside +54.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA kr 1.05 kr 1.37 kr 1.68 67
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1700 kr 0.2300 kr 0.3400 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 1.05 kr 1.37 kr 1.68 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1700 kr 0.2300 kr 0.3400 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17,258.7% (2021) → −36.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Pollution & Treatment Controls · 85 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +53.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −21.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −64.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −31.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −12.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ocean GeoLoop A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OCEAN

Frequently asked questions

Is Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.25 versus a price of kr 0.8100, about +54% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OCEAN?
Our model-based fair value for Ocean GeoLoop A/S is kr 1.25 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 0.8100.
What is the quality score of OCEAN?
Ocean GeoLoop A/S has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 1.25 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.9300, optimistic scenario kr 1.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ocean GeoLoop A/S stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 1.25, about +54% upside versus a price of kr 0.8100 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.9300, optimistic scenario kr 1.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
Ocean GeoLoop A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 191M NOK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ocean GeoLoop A/S it is kr 1.25 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of kr 0.8100. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ocean GeoLoop A/S stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, OCEAN trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 0.8100, fair value kr 1.25, a gap of about +54% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OCEAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 0.8100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 1.25). For Ocean GeoLoop A/S the two are kr 0.4400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ocean GeoLoop A/S worth?
The market values Ocean GeoLoop A/S at about 143M NOK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is kr 0.8100; our models calculate a fair value of kr 1.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OCEAN?
Our models span a range for Ocean GeoLoop A/S: cautious scenario kr 0.9300, base kr 1.25, optimistic kr 1.57 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price kr 0.8100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ocean GeoLoop A/S (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −115.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OCEAN from its 52-week high?
Ocean GeoLoop A/S trades at kr 0.8100, about 84% below its 52-week high of kr 5.00 and 94% above the low of kr 0.4180 (as of Oct 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 1.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ocean GeoLoop A/S?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Veralto Corporation, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation, CECO Environmental Corp, Fujian Longking Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ocean GeoLoop A/S stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price kr 0.8100, calculated fair value kr 1.25 (+54%), Quality Score 38/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OCEAN calculated?
We run Ocean GeoLoop A/S through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 1.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ocean GeoLoop A/S currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
The closing price on Oct 13, 2026 was kr 0.8100. Our model-based fair value is kr 1.25, about +54% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ocean GeoLoop A/S right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 0.9300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Ocean GeoLoop A/S

How large is the market capitalisation of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
The market capitalisation of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is 143M NOK (≈ $14.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is 0.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
Earnings per share at Ocean GeoLoop A/S are kr −1.60. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
The net margin of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is −60.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is −116% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is −24.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
The operating margin of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is −31.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN)?
Revenue at Ocean GeoLoop A/S is growing −12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN) generate?
The free cash flow of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is −64.1M NOK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ocean GeoLoop A/S (OCEAN) carry?
The net debt of Ocean GeoLoop A/S is 3.3M NOK (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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