CECO Environmental Corp (CECO) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $24.86 to $15.19 (−38.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −10.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($6.34 to $21.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.25 – $99.67 · fair‑value band $6.34 – $21.40 · the $70.92 price screens above the $15.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
CECO Environmental Corp (CECO) currently trades at $70.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.19, implying the stock looks roughly 78.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, CECO Environmental Corp generated revenue of $804M at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.34 (bear case) to $21.40 (bull case); at $70.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 173% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -79%, CECO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($28.98) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CECO Environmental Corp. provides critical solutions in industrial air quality, industrial water treatment, and energy transition solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, China, and internationally. It operates through Engineered Systems and Industrial Process Solutions segments.
Full company description
CECO Environmental Corp. provides critical solutions in industrial air quality, industrial water treatment, and energy transition solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, China, and internationally. It operates through Engineered Systems and Industrial Process Solutions segments. The company offers emissions management, fluid bed cyclones, thermal acoustics, and separation and filtration solutions; engineering services and environmental systems; and industrial exhaust air contamination treatment and control systems, solutions, and services, as well as intelligent control solutions. It also provides engineered and configured products and solutions, including dampers and diverters, expansion joints, selective catalytic reduction systems, severe-service and industrial cyclones, dust collectors, thermal oxidizers, filtration systems, wet and dry scrubbers, separators and coalescers, water treatment packages, metallic and non-metallic pumps, industrial silencers, and fluid handling equipment, as well as plant engineering services and engineered design build fabrication services. In addition, the company offers solutions for air pollution and contamination control, fluid handling, and process filtration in various applications, such as aluminum beverage can production, automobile production, food and beverage processing, semiconductor fabrication, electronics production, steel and aluminum mill processing, wood manufacturing, desalination, and aquaculture markets, as well as it provides engineered industrial process heating solutions for process industries. It markets its power generation, hydrocarbon processing, water/wastewater treatment, oily water separation and treatment, marine and naval vessels, and midstream oil and gas sectors. CECO Environmental Corp. was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Addison, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CECO Environmental Corp reported revenue of $774M in FY2025 versus $324M in FY2021, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was $50.1M in FY2025, compounding +143.4%/yr from FY2021.
CECO screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Veralto Corporation →
Peer Group
Pollution & Treatment Controls · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veralto Corporation VLTO | $94.21 | $69.11 | -27% |
| Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation ZWS | $47.63 | $24.92 | -48% |
| Canmax Technologies Co 300390 | ¥57.02 | ¥10.41 | -82% |
| Fujian Longking Co 600388 | ¥17.58 | ¥15.59 | -11% |
| Munters Group MTRS | kr 166.60 | kr 16.90 | -90% |
| China Conch Venture Holdings 0586 | HK$8.83 | HK$14.14 | +60% |
| Mega Union Technology Inc 6944 | 1,005 TWD | 539.58 TWD | -46% |
| MayAir Technology (China) Co 688376 | ¥96.57 | ¥18.80 | -81% |
| Shanghai Emperor of Cleaning Hi-Tech Co 603200 | ¥38.97 | ¥5.73 | -85% |
| Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co 000544 | ¥7.30 | ¥15.46 | +112% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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