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China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd HK$14.41, price HK$7.58, upside +90.2%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG2116J1085

CC China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd

0586 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$14.41 · Strongly undervalued (+90.2%)
!Quality 50/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 34.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!4.7% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$23.98 HK$4.82 Fair Value HK$14.41 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.82 – HK$23.98 · fair‑value band HK$10.81 – HK$14.41 · the HK$7.58 price screens below the HK$14.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China Conch Venture Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides various package solutions for energy conservation and environmental protection in Mainland China and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through Waste-to-energy Projects, Port Logistics Services, New Building Materials, New Energy, and Investments segments.

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China Conch Venture Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides various package solutions for energy conservation and environmental protection in Mainland China and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through Waste-to-energy Projects, Port Logistics Services, New Building Materials, New Energy, and Investments segments. The company manufactures and sells residual heat power generation, waste incineration solutions, vertical mill, and related after-sales services. It also provides port logistics services, including cargo handling, trans-shipment, and warehousing services; and alternative wall building materials, such as cellulose fiber cement sheets, and autoclaved and wood wool cement boards. In addition, the company engages in recycling of lithium batteries; offers lithium iron phosphate cathode and anode materials; waste disposal for energy and sludge treatment services; garbage disposal for sludge residue operation management technical services; designs and constructs energy preservation and environmental protection projects; designs, sells, and installs energy preservation and environmental protection equipment and after sale services; and offers construction engineering design and construction services. Further, the company provides energy saving building material; property construction and development and ancillary; resource recycling and technical consultation; kitchen waste collection and harmless disposal; and packaging container production services. China Conch Venture Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Wuhu, China.

Stock analysis

China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) currently trades at HK$7.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$14.41, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$24.96 per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$7.58 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$6.30, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$10.81 (bear) to HK$14.41 (bull), the price of HK$7.58 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd reported revenue of 6.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding −25.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$19.5B (≈ $2.5B) · P/E ratio 4.9 · P/S ratio 1.68 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.54 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 34.3% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 90%, 0586 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$10.81 Fair Value HK$14.41 Bull HK$14.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.2999 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$24.03 HK$23.90 HK$24.97 74
Owner Earnings HK$3.66 HK$15.79 HK$35.01 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$3.66 HK$6.30 HK$7.70 65
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$3.66 HK$15.79 HK$35.01 66
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$9.97 HK$40.04 HK$54.44 62
Lynch FV HK$9.97 HK$14.25 HK$18.52 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$9.97 HK$14.25 HK$18.52 55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$3.66 HK$7.30 HK$11.05 64
DDM Multi-Stage HK$3.66 HK$6.30 HK$7.70 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$23.08 HK$30.78 HK$38.47 63
P/S Multiple HK$6.41 HK$8.55 HK$10.69 58
P/B Multiple HK$18.69 HK$24.91 HK$31.14 55
EV/EBIT n/a HK$3.08 HK$7.50 61
EV/EBITDA HK$3.24 HK$9.18 HK$15.12 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$16.13 HK$21.61 HK$32.26 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$24.03 HK$23.90 HK$24.97 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$17.47 HK$24.96 HK$32.45 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.4% vs 1.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 24%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Pollution & Treatment Controls · 88 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +90.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.6% · Above median
Return on assets 1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 34.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.50× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.54× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)52 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)95 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Munters Group MTRS kr 131.90 kr 48.58 −63%
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Hebei Sailhero Environmental Protection High-tech Co 300137 ¥10.22 ¥2.24 −78%
MayAir Technology (China) Co 688376 ¥63.06 ¥18.80 −70%
Jingjin Equipment Inc 603279 ¥10.99 ¥18.97 +73%
Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co 000544 ¥7.16 ¥13.38 +87%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0586

Frequently asked questions

Is China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$14.41 versus a price of HK$7.58, about +90% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0586?
Our model-based fair value for China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is HK$14.41 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$7.58.
What is the quality score of 0586?
China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$14.41 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$10.81, optimistic scenario HK$14.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$14.41, about +90% upside versus a price of HK$7.58 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$10.81, optimistic scenario HK$14.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd pay a dividend?
China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd it is HK$14.41 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$7.58. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0586 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$7.58, fair value HK$14.41, a gap of about +90% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0586?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$7.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$14.41). For China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd the two are HK$6.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd worth?
The market values China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd at about HK$19.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$7.58; our models calculate a fair value of HK$14.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0586?
Our models span a range for China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd: cautious scenario HK$10.81, base HK$14.41, optimistic HK$14.41 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$7.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0586?
China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$14.41 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0586 from its 52-week high?
China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd trades at HK$7.58, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$13.73 and 3% above the low of HK$7.36 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$14.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Veralto Corporation, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation, CECO Environmental Corp, Fujian Longking Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$7.58, calculated fair value HK$14.41 (+90%), Quality Score 50/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0586 calculated?
We run China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$14.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$7.58. Our model-based fair value is HK$14.41, about +90% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$10.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) come from?
Earnings per share at China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd grew +1.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.6 %, EBIT margin −2.3 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −10.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
The market capitalisation of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is HK$19.5B (≈ $2.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is 1.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
Earnings per share at China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd are HK$1.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
The dividend yield of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is 4.7% (payout 23.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
The net margin of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is 34.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
The operating margin of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
Revenue at China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is growing +10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586)?
Earnings per share at China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd are growing +14.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) generate?
The free cash flow of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is −173M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) carry?
The net debt of China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd is 27.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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