Oil Country Tubular Limited (OILCOUNTUB) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹3.0B
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹15.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (₹7.80 to ₹15.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹4.01 – ₹98.84 · fair‑value band ₹7.80 – ₹15.15 · the ₹57.69 price screens above the ₹11.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Oil Country Tubular Limited (OILCOUNTUB) currently trades at ₹57.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹11.47, implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Oil Country Tubular Limited generated revenue of ₹1.1B at a net margin of -35.7%. Revenue declined 55.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.8%. Net debt stands at ₹168M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹7.80 (bear case) to ₹15.15 (bull case); at ₹57.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -80%, OILCOUNTUB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹25.44) versus DCF Models (₹13.60). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oil Country Tubular Limited manufactures and sells casing, tubing, and drill pipes used in the oil and gas drilling and exploration sector in India and internationally. It offers heavy weight drill pipes and drill collars, as well as tubing, casing, and high collapse casing products.
Full company description
Oil Country Tubular Limited manufactures and sells casing, tubing, and drill pipes used in the oil and gas drilling and exploration sector in India and internationally. It offers heavy weight drill pipes and drill collars, as well as tubing, casing, and high collapse casing products. The company also provides accessories, such as rotary subs, lift plugs and subs, lifting bails, pup joints, sleeve stabilizers, tool joints, welded blade stabilizers, and couplings, as well as drill rods. In addition, it offers services comprising tool joint hardfacing, tool joints make and break, internal plastic coating of drill pipe and tubing, drill pipe reconditioning, drill pipe re-threading, tubing and casing, and field inspection. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India. Oil Country Tubular Limited is in Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code 2016.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Oil Country Tubular Limited reported revenue of ₹701M in FY2026 versus ₹14.3M in FY2022, a compound +164.8%/yr. Reported net income was −₹615M in FY2026.
OILCOUNTUB screens 80% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 195 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 488.45 MXN | -42% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $64.28 | $32.40 | -50% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $75.27 | $27.43 | -64% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.02 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $53.09 | $45.68 | -14% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥144.58 | ¥34.17 | -76% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.56 | €2.72 | -40% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 341.20 | kr 221.37 | -35% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.31 | ¥12.64 | +3% |
| CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited 600968 | ¥4.00 | ¥5.35 | +34% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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