Olympia Financial Group (OLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$254M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −1.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$32.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$33.38 – C$126.70 · fair‑value band C$19.39 – C$32.32 · the C$103.25 price screens above the C$25.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Olympia Financial Group (OLY) currently trades at C$103.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$25.86, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Olympia Financial Group generated revenue of C$98.9M at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue declined 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$4.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$19.39 (bear case) to C$32.32 (bull case); at C$103.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -75%, OLY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$119.39) versus Asset-Based (C$12.37). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when OLY reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Olympia Financial Group Inc., through its subsidiary, Olympia Trust Company, operates as a non-deposit taking trust company in Canada. The company operates through six segments: Investment Account Services; Corporate and Shareholder Services; Currency and Global Payments; Private Health Services Plan; and Exempt Edge divisions.
Full company description
Olympia Financial Group Inc., through its subsidiary, Olympia Trust Company, operates as a non-deposit taking trust company in Canada. The company operates through six segments: Investment Account Services; Corporate and Shareholder Services; Currency and Global Payments; Private Health Services Plan; and Exempt Edge divisions. The Investment Account Services division specializes in self-directed registered plans administration. The Corporate and Shareholder Services division provides transfer agency and corporate trust services to public and private issuers. The Currency and Global Payments division provides corporations and private clients a personalized service for buying and selling foreign currencies. The Private Health Services Plan division markets, sells, and administers health and dental benefits to business owners. The Exempt Edge division provides information technology to exempt market dealers, registrants, and issuers. Olympia Financial Group Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Olympia Financial Group reported revenue of C$98.9M in FY2025 versus C$48.4M in FY2021, a compound +19.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$19.9M in FY2025, compounding +32.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
OLY screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 971 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
Compare Olympia Financial Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Olympia Financial Group (OLY) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of OLY?
What is the quality score of OLY?
What is the revenue of Olympia Financial Group (OLY)?
What is the net profit margin of OLY?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Olympia Financial Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.