Orchid Island Capital, Inc (ORC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.3B
Orchid Island Capital, Inc
ORC · US
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +2.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.69 – $7.61 · fair‑value band $5.71 – $7.46 · the $6.86 price screens above the $6.26 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Orchid Island Capital, Inc (ORC) currently trades at $6.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.26 — implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Orchid Island Capital, Inc generated revenue of $146M at a net margin of 83.8%. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at $9.5B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.1. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred to as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio comprises traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS, including interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for the United States federal income tax purposes. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to stockholders, if it annually distributes dividends equal to at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its shareholders. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Orchid Island Capital, Inc reported revenue of $180M in FY2025 versus −$49.5M in FY2021. Reported net income was $159M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more REIT - Mortgage stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annaly Capital Management, Inc NLY | $22.27 | $30.74 | +38% |
| AGNC Investment Corp AGNC | $10.44 | $15.11 | +45% |
| Starwood Property Trust, Inc STWD | $16.61 | $14.93 | -10% |
| Rithm Capital Corp RITM | $9.24 | $20.75 | +125% |
| Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc BXMT | $18.01 | $14.84 | -18% |
| Dynex Capital, Inc DX | $12.92 | $15.73 | +22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.