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The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited ₹622, price ₹3,539, upside -82.4%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · IN · ISIN INE725E01024

TO Thin data Sep 24, 2026

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited

ORISSAMINE · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹622.22 · Strongly overvalued (−82.4%)

!Quality 40/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −7.9 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -37.3% net margin (TTM)

✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

!Trails peers (3/8)

!Narrow moat 30/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹2,252 – ₹9,363 · fair‑value band ₹548.62 – ₹686.59 · the ₹3,539 price screens above the ₹622.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited mines and markets iron ore and manganese ore in India. It produces and sells sponge iron. The company was incorporated in 1918 and is headquartered in Bhubaneswar, India. The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is a subsidiary of Eastern Investments Limited.

Stock analysis

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) currently trades at ₹3,539, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹622.22, 82.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹966.94 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ₹3,539 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ₹557.46, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹548.62 (bear) to ₹686.59 (bull), the price of ₹3,539 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited reported revenue of ₹646M in FY2025 versus ₹827M in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹402M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap ₹23.8B (≈ $248M) · P/S ratio 33.2 · EPS (TTM) ₹−44.75 · Net margin −62.3% · Return on equity −326% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% · Operating margin 49.0% · Revenue (TTM) ₹718M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −82%, ORISSAMINE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹548.62 Fair Value ₹622.22 Bull ₹686.59

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF ₹721.20 ₹958.40 ₹1,340 81

Growth DCF ₹744.24 ₹966.94 ₹1,299 80

5Y Revenue Exit ₹296.20 ₹364.62 ₹461.24 74

All 5 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF ₹721.20 ₹958.40 ₹1,340 81

5Y Revenue Exit ₹296.20 ₹364.62 ₹461.24 74

10Y Revenue Exit ₹493.34 ₹557.46 ₹613.12 68

Multiples

EV/Revenue n/a n/a ₹17.43 50

Growth DCF

Growth DCF ₹744.24 ₹966.94 ₹1,299 80

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 6

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 20

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 67

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 24

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 59

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 70

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 30

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 8

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 4/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−21.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−7.9%

Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−8.2%

’07

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’21

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’25

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−26.8% (2021) → −45.2% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations

The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+32.5%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +27.2% a year for the price.

ORISSAMINE screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 406 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 42 · Below median

Fair Value upside −82.4% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Return on assets −4.5% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −37.3% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 49.0% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −0.1% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 0.4× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Nucor Corporation NUE	$236.24	$116.49	−51%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT	€59.82	€35.15	−41%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD	$230.39	$127.93	−44%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL	₹1,233	₹1,095	−11%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL	₹178.00	₹147.10	−17%
Reliance, Inc RS	$393.04	$211.55	−46%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019	¥5.84	¥8.07	+38%
POSCO Holdings 005490	311,000 KRW	155,270 KRW	−50%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010	¥2.09	¥0.5300	−75%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL	₹1,165	₹516.27	−56%

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The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited · Fair Value
₹622.22 −82%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORISSAMINE" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹622.22</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−82%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORISSAMINE

Frequently asked questions

Is The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹622.22 versus a price of ₹3,539, about −82% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of ORISSAMINE?

Our model-based fair value for The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is ₹622.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3,539.

What is the quality score of ORISSAMINE?

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹622.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹548.62, optimistic scenario ₹686.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹622.22, about −82% upside versus a price of ₹3,539 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹548.62, optimistic scenario ₹686.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹718M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +32.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 13 years revenue grew +33.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ORISSAMINE use?

Our models discount The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited that is +32.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) delivered so far?

Over the past 13 years revenue at The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited grew +33.4 % a year. The price currently implies +32.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (+32.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.74 %: that much free cash flow The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited it is ₹622.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹3,539. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, ORISSAMINE trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹3,539, fair value ₹622.22, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of ORISSAMINE?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹3,539); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹622.22). For The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited the two are ₹2,916 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited worth?

The market values The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited at about ₹23.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹3,539; our models calculate a fair value of ₹622.22 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORISSAMINE?

Our models span a range for The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited: cautious scenario ₹548.62, base ₹622.22, optimistic ₹686.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹3,539). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

Balance-sheet figures for The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is ORISSAMINE from its 52-week high?

The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited trades at ₹3,539, about 39% below its 52-week high of ₹5,800 and 13% above the low of ₹3,126 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹622.22 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹3,539, calculated fair value ₹622.22 (−82%), Quality Score 40/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of ORISSAMINE calculated?

We run The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹622.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹3,539. Our model-based fair value is ₹622.22, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹686.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The market capitalisation of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is ₹23.8B (≈ $248M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The price-to-sales ratio of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is 33.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

Earnings per share at The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited are ₹−44.75. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The net margin of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is −62.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The return on equity (ROE) of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is −326% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is −1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

The operating margin of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is 49.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

Revenue at The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE)?

Earnings per share at The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited are growing +297% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (ORISSAMINE) carry?

The net debt of The Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited is ₹1.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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