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OssDsign AB (OSSD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of OssDsign AB SEK 1.22, price SEK 3.43, upside -64.6%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · SE · ISIN SE0012570448

OA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

OssDsign AB

OSSD · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 1.22 · Strongly overvalued (−65%)
!Quality 41/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +48.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -27.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 16.54 kr 2.84 Fair Value kr 1.22 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 2.84 – kr 16.54 · fair‑value band kr 0.7990 – kr 1.51 · the kr 3.43 price screens above the kr 1.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

OssDsign AB (publ) designs, manufactures, and sells implants and material technology for bone regeneration in the United States. The company offers OssDsign Catalyst, a nanosynthetic bone graft engages in dual bone formation pathways through fusion mass. OssDsign AB (publ) was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Uppsala, Sweden.

Stock analysis

OssDsign AB (OSSD) currently trades at kr 3.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 182.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.7990 (bear) to kr 1.51 (bull), the price of kr 3.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

OssDsign AB reported revenue of 180M SEK in FY2025 versus 31.7M SEK in FY2021, a compound +54.4%/yr. Reported net income was −51.0M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 455M SEK (≈ $46.0M) · P/S ratio 2.64 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.4800 · Net margin −28.3% · Return on equity −19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.4% · Operating margin −36.5% · Revenue (TTM) 173M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −65%, OSSD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.7990 Fair Value kr 1.22 Bull kr 1.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.40 kr 1.88 kr 2.80 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.40 kr 1.88 kr 2.80 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−337.5% (2020) → −26.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OSSD screens 182% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Devices · 361 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −37% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −17% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $103.69 $74.79 −28%
Stryker Corporation SYK $275.09 $302.60 +10%
Medtronic plc MDT $90.77 $65.57 −28%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $44.92 $49.41 +10%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $88.78 $82.04 −8%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €37.43 €35.22 −6%
DexCom, Inc DXCM $89.53 $98.48 +10%
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $66.27 $69.62 +5%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥156.68 ¥172.35 +10%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €21.85 €15.32 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OssDsign AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OSSD

Frequently asked questions

Is OssDsign AB (OSSD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.22 versus a price of kr 3.43, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OSSD?
Our model-based fair value for OssDsign AB is kr 1.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 3.43.
What is the quality score of OSSD?
OssDsign AB has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 1.22 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.7990, optimistic scenario kr 1.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OssDsign AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 1.22, about −65% upside versus a price of kr 3.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.7990, optimistic scenario kr 1.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
OssDsign AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 173M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OssDsign AB it is kr 1.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 3.43. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OssDsign AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OSSD trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 3.43, fair value kr 1.22, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OSSD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 3.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 1.22). For OssDsign AB the two are kr 2.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OssDsign AB worth?
The market values OssDsign AB at about 455M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 3.43; our models calculate a fair value of kr 1.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OSSD?
Our models span a range for OssDsign AB: cautious scenario kr 0.7990, base kr 1.22, optimistic kr 1.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 3.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
Balance-sheet figures for OssDsign AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −19.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OSSD from its 52-week high?
OssDsign AB trades at kr 3.43, about 76% below its 52-week high of kr 14.56 and at the low of kr 3.43 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 1.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OssDsign AB?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Stryker Corporation, Medtronic plc, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OssDsign AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 3.43, calculated fair value kr 1.22 (−65%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OSSD calculated?
We run OssDsign AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 1.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. OssDsign AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 3.43. Our model-based fair value is kr 1.22, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OssDsign AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.7990 to kr 1.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of OssDsign AB

How large is the market capitalisation of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
The market capitalisation of OssDsign AB is 455M SEK (≈ $46.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OssDsign AB is 2.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
Earnings per share at OssDsign AB are kr −0.4800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
The net margin of OssDsign AB is −28.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OssDsign AB is −19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OssDsign AB is −21.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
The operating margin of OssDsign AB is −36.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
Revenue at OssDsign AB is growing −17.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +46.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does OssDsign AB (OSSD) generate?
The free cash flow of OssDsign AB is −71.4M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does OssDsign AB (OSSD) hold?
OssDsign AB holds more cash than debt, 190M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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