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OssDsign AB (OSSD) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · SE · Market cap 455M SEK

OA OssDsign AB OSSD · ST
Pricekr 4.15
Fair Valuekr 1.22
Upside-70.7%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -27.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.7990 – kr 1.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.7990 to kr 1.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 16.54 kr 2.84 Fair Value kr 1.22 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 2.84 – kr 16.54 · fair‑value band kr 0.7990 – kr 1.51 · the kr 4.15 price screens above the kr 1.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

OssDsign AB (OSSD) currently trades at kr 4.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 70.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, OssDsign AB generated revenue of 173M SEK at a net margin of -27.8%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 190M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.7990 (bear case) to kr 1.51 (bull case); at kr 4.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -71%, OSSD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.40 kr 1.88 kr 2.80 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.40 kr 1.88 kr 2.80 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 173M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net margin -27.8%
Return on equity -19.1%
Free cash flow −71.4M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -36.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.4800
Net cash 190M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

OssDsign AB (publ) designs, manufactures, and sells implants and material technology for bone regeneration in the United States. The company offers OssDsign Catalyst, a nanosynthetic bone graft engages in dual bone formation pathways through fusion mass. OssDsign AB (publ) was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Uppsala, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OssDsign AB reported revenue of kr 180M in FY2025 versus kr 31.7M in FY2021, a compound +54.4%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 51.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
180M SEK
Latest YoY
+34.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+51.9%
Revenue +54.4%/yr
FY21 kr 31.7M
FY22 kr 57.0M
FY23 kr 112M
FY24 kr 134M
FY25 kr 180M
Net income
FY21 −kr 93.9M
FY22 −kr 99.4M
FY23 −kr 130M
FY24 −kr 49.7M
FY25 −kr 51.0M

OSSD screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OssDsign AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OSSD

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 8
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OssDsign AB (OSSD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.22 versus a price of kr 4.15, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OSSD?
Our model-based fair value for OssDsign AB is kr 1.22 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 4.15.
What is the quality score of OSSD?
OssDsign AB has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OssDsign AB (OSSD)?
OssDsign AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 173M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OSSD?
The net profit margin of OssDsign AB is about -27.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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