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PACCAR Inc (PCAR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $62.1B

PI PACCAR Inc logo PACCAR Inc PCAR · US
Price$116.78
Fair Value$94.80
Upside-18.8%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: High Range $62.06 – $118.50

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +5.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$126.14 $88.56 Fair Value $94.80 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $88.56 – $126.14 · fair‑value band $62.06 – $118.50 · the $116.78 price screens above the $94.80 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) currently trades at $116.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $94.80 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PACCAR Inc generated revenue of $27.8B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $9.3B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $27.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.9%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow $3.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 25.1
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) $4.70
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.7%
Net cash $9.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods; and diesel engine products. It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers. This segment offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PACCAR Inc reported revenue of $28.4B in FY2025 versus $23.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.4B in FY2025, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY21 $23.5B
FY22 $28.8B
FY23 $35.1B
FY24 $33.7B
FY25 $28.4B
Net income +6.2%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $3.0B
FY23 $4.6B
FY24 $4.2B
FY25 $2.4B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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6 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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DEER DEER C$29.13 C$8.48 -71%
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Frequently asked questions

Is PACCAR Inc (PCAR) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $94.80 versus a price of $116.78 — about −19% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of PCAR?
Our model-based fair value for PACCAR Inc is $94.80 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $116.78.
What is the quality score of PCAR?
PACCAR Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of PACCAR Inc (PCAR)?
PACCAR Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.8B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PCAR?
The net profit margin of PACCAR Inc is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PACCAR Inc pay a dividend?
PACCAR Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.