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PepsiCo, Inc (PEP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $194B

PI PepsiCo, Inc logo PepsiCo, Inc PEP · US
Price$142.05
Fair Value$106.85
Upside-24.8%
Quality65/100
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Evidence: High Range $57.16 – $158.26

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $93.32 to $106.85 (+14.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$164.70 $126.78 Fair Value $106.85 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $126.78 – $164.70 · fair‑value band $57.16 – $158.26 · the $142.05 price screens above the $106.85 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

PepsiCo, Inc (PEP) currently trades at $142.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $106.85 — implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PepsiCo, Inc generated revenue of $95.4B at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.9%. Net debt stands at $40.7B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $95.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.5%
Net margin 9.2%
Return on equity 43.9%
Free cash flow $7.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.0%
EPS (TTM) $6.37
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.8%
Net debt $40.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

PepsiCo, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through six segments: PepsiCo Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; International Beverages Franchise; Europe, Middle East and Africa; Latin America Foods; and Asia Pacific Foods. It offers cereals, chips, dips, granola bars, oatmeal, pasta, rice, and syrups and mixes; refrigerated dips and spreads; beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, and finished goods; and ready-to-drink tea and coffee products. The company also provides SodaStream sparkling water makers and related products, as well as various dairy products under the Agusha, Chudo, and Domik v Derevne brands. It serves wholesale and other distributors, foodservice customers, grocery stores, drug stores, convenience stores, discount/dollar stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, hard discounters, e-commerce retailers and authorized independent bottlers, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PepsiCo, Inc reported revenue of $93.9B in FY2025 versus $79.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $8.2B in FY2025, compounding +2.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 $79.5B
FY22 $86.4B
FY23 $91.5B
FY24 $91.9B
FY25 $93.9B
Net income +2.0%/yr
FY21 $7.6B
FY22 $8.9B
FY23 $9.1B
FY24 $9.6B
FY25 $8.2B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is PepsiCo, Inc (PEP) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $106.85 versus a price of $142.05 — about −25% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of PEP?
Our model-based fair value for PepsiCo, Inc is $106.85 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $142.05.
What is the quality score of PEP?
PepsiCo, Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of PepsiCo, Inc (PEP)?
PepsiCo, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $95.4B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PEP?
The net profit margin of PepsiCo, Inc is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PepsiCo, Inc pay a dividend?
PepsiCo, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.