Petróleo Brasileiro S.A (PETR3) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AR · Market cap 165T ARS
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026 — revised from 53,847 ARS to 30,914 ARS (−42.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 7,310 ARS – 16,490 ARS · fair‑value band 23,185 ARS – 74,202 ARS · the 12,540 ARS price screens below the 30,914 ARS fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.
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Petróleo Brasileiro S.A (PETR3) currently trades at 12,540 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 30,914 ARS — implying the stock looks roughly 146.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A generated revenue of 498B ARS at a net margin of 21.6%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.6%. Net debt stands at 20.1B ARS. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 23,185 ARS (bear case) to 74,202 ARS (bull case); at 12,540 ARS, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside — at 147%, PETR3 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A reported revenue of 489B ARS in FY2025 versus 84.0B ARS in FY2021, a compound +55.3%/yr. Reported net income was 108B ARS in FY2025, compounding +52.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $149.92 | $75.10 | -50% |
| Chevron Corporation CVX | $175.06 | $90.66 | -48% |
| PetroChina Company PCCYF | $1.17 | $1.23 | +5% |
| Shell plc RYDAF | $39.95 | $46.04 | +15% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | $80.31 | $73.21 | -9% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, B1PP34 | R$51.15 | R$5.36 | -90% |
| Equinor ASA E1QN34 | R$95.30 | R$79.93 | -16% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥4.78 | ¥6.40 | +34% |
| Suncor Energy Inc SU | $56.23 | $70.17 | +25% |
| Eni S.p.A ENI | €23.52 | €13.82 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.