Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Koninklijke Philips NV $13.48, price $24.45, upside -44.9%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.49 – $43.43 · fair‑value band $7.79 – $19.89 · the $24.45 price screens above the $13.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Koninklijke Philips N.V. operates as a health technology company in North America, the Greater China, and internationally. It operates through Diagnosis & Treatment, Connected Care, and Personal Health segments.
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Koninklijke Philips N.V. operates as a health technology company in North America, the Greater China, and internationally. It operates through Diagnosis & Treatment, Connected Care, and Personal Health segments. The company provides diagnostic imaging solutions, includes ultrasound business unit, magnetic resonance imaging, computed tomography, and diagnostic x-ray; Image Guided Therapy, including image guided therapy systems and image guided therapy devices. It also offers monitoring, enterprise informatics, and sleep and respiratory care, as well as personal health. Koninklijke Philips N.V. has strategic alliance with WellSpan Health to advanced imaging and diagnostics technology products and platforms. The company was formerly known as Koninklijke Philips Electronics N.V. and changed its name to Koninklijke Philips N.V. in May 2013. Koninklijke Philips N.V. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR (PHG) currently trades at $24.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.48, implying the stock looks roughly 81.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $15.65 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $24.45 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.39, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $7.79 (bear) to $19.89 (bull), the price of $24.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR reported revenue of $17.8B in FY2025 versus $17.2B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $895M in FY2025, compounding −27.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $26.0B · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) $1.16 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −45%, PHG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.79Fair Value $13.48Bull $19.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2276 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.0% a year
Revenue growth 38 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs 4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.7% a year for the price and +0.9% for the forecasts.
Compare Koninklijke Philips NV ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Devices · 365 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−29% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)21.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.38× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF29.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG0.87× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)33· sector 7
HEALTH (low debt)68· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)70· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.48 versus a price of $24.45, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PHG?
Our model-based fair value for Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is $13.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $24.45.
What is the quality score of PHG?
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.79, optimistic scenario $19.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Koninklijke Philips NV ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.48, about −45% upside versus a price of $24.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.79, optimistic scenario $19.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Koninklijke Philips NV ADR pay a dividend?
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Koninklijke Philips NV ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +16.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PHG use?
Our models discount Koninklijke Philips NV ADR at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Koninklijke Philips NV ADR that is +16.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Koninklijke Philips NV ADR grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +16.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Koninklijke Philips NV ADR (+16.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.79 %: that much free cash flow Koninklijke Philips NV ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Koninklijke Philips NV ADR it is $13.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $24.45. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Koninklijke Philips NV ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PHG trades above its calculated fair value: price $24.45, fair value $13.48, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PHG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($24.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.48). For Koninklijke Philips NV ADR the two are $10.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Koninklijke Philips NV ADR worth?
The market values Koninklijke Philips NV ADR at about $26.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $24.45; our models calculate a fair value of $13.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PHG?
Our models span a range for Koninklijke Philips NV ADR: cautious scenario $7.79, base $13.48, optimistic $19.89 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $24.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PHG?
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $13.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 2.4, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
What is the PEG ratio of PHG?
The PEG ratio of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is 0.87 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Koninklijke Philips NV ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.4%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PHG from its 52-week high?
Koninklijke Philips NV ADR trades at $24.45, about 23% below its 52-week high of $31.68 and at the low of $24.45 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Koninklijke Philips NV ADR?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Stryker Corporation, Medtronic plc, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Koninklijke Philips NV ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $24.45, calculated fair value $13.48 (−45%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PHG calculated?
We run Koninklijke Philips NV ADR through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Koninklijke Philips NV ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $24.45. Our model-based fair value is $13.48, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Koninklijke Philips NV ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.79 to $19.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The market capitalisation of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is $26.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is 1.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
Earnings per share at Koninklijke Philips NV ADR are $1.16 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The dividend yield of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is 3.5% (payout 73.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The net margin of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is 5.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
The operating margin of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
Revenue at Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is growing −4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG)?
Earnings per share at Koninklijke Philips NV ADR are growing +97.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Koninklijke Philips NV (PHG) carry?
The net debt of Koninklijke Philips NV ADR is $5.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026