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Phoenix Asia Holdings (PHOE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $346M

PA Phoenix Asia Holdings logo Phoenix Asia Holdings PHOE · US
Price$19.10
Fair Value$0.9200
Upside-95.2%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.7200 – $1.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −22.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 95% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (15 months)

$133.12 $2.57 Fair Value $0.9200 Apr 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $2.57 – $133.12 · fair‑value band $0.7200 – $1.13 · the $19.10 price screens above the $0.9200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Phoenix Asia Holdings (PHOE) currently trades at $19.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9200, implying the stock looks roughly 95.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Phoenix Asia Holdings generated revenue of $7.1M at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue declined 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.7200 (bear case) to $1.13 (bull case); at $19.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -95%, PHOE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.7800 $1.27 $2.04 72
Growth-Adj P/E $1.50 $2.14 $2.79 68
Rev-Margin DCF $0.8100 $1.35 $2.49 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.8300 $1.16 $2.14 38
Owner Earnings $0.7200 $1.38 $2.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.7500 $1.20 $2.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7600 $1.23 $2.15 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.8300 $1.69 $2.84 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.7600 $1.48 $1.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.7900 $1.52 $2.76 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.8300 $1.66 $2.99 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3200 $2.25 $3.16 54
Lynch FV $1.16 $1.66 $2.16 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.16 $1.66 $2.16 46
EPV $0.4900 $0.5400 $0.5900 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.7100 $0.9500 $1.19 63
P/S Multiple $0.6100 $0.8100 $1.01 58
P/B Multiple $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.5400 55
EV/EBIT $0.9200 $1.19 $1.46 53
EV/EBITDA $0.7200 $0.9200 $1.13 54
EV/Revenue $0.6600 $0.8900 $1.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.7800 $1.27 $2.04 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.8100 $1.35 $2.49 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2900 $0.4100 $2.96 61
ROIC Compounder $0.5300 $0.6300 $0.7400 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.50 $2.14 $2.79 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.14) versus Asset-Based ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.3%
Net margin 8.4%
Return on equity 11.6%
Free cash flow $1.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 533.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -76.1%
Net cash $2.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 87
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited provides substructure works services in Hong Kong. The company undertakes site formation, such as clearance of construction site, demolition of existing structures, and reduction and stabilization of existing slopes; ground investigation comprising of assessing ground condition by drilling and conducting tests; and foundation …

Full company description

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited provides substructure works services in Hong Kong. The company undertakes site formation, such as clearance of construction site, demolition of existing structures, and reduction and stabilization of existing slopes; ground investigation comprising of assessing ground condition by drilling and conducting tests; and foundation works, including excavation and lateral support works, pile caps construction, earth works, structural steel works, underground drainage works, and demolition works. It also provides construction services, such as structural steel works; and advisory and supervision services in substructure projects. Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Phoenix Prosperity Investment Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Phoenix Asia Holdings reported revenue of $7.4M in FY2025 versus $2.2M in FY2023, a compound +81.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025, compounding +71.0%/yr from FY2023.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.4M
Latest YoY
+28.1%
Revenue +81.9%/yr
FY23 $2.2M
FY24 $5.8M
FY25 $7.4M
Net income +71.0%/yr
FY23 $351K
FY24 $1.1M
FY25 $1.0M

PHOE screens 95% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phoenix Asia Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PHOE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 831 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −95% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 533.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 48.73× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 303.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 46 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹102.36 ₹48.22 -53%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Phoenix Asia Holdings (PHOE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9200 versus a price of $19.10, about −95% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PHOE?
Our model-based fair value for Phoenix Asia Holdings is $0.9200 (as of Aug 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.10.
What is the quality score of PHOE?
Phoenix Asia Holdings has a Quality Score of 68/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Phoenix Asia Holdings (PHOE)?
Phoenix Asia Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PHOE?
The net profit margin of Phoenix Asia Holdings is about 8.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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