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Insulet Corporation (PODD) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $11.0B

IC Insulet Corporation logo Insulet Corporation PODD · US
Price$139.30
Fair Value$78.48
Upside-43.7%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $58.86 – $132.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $84.09 to $78.48 (−6.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −13.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($132.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($58.86 to $132.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$352.82 $127.77 Fair Value $78.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $127.77 – $352.82 · fair‑value band $58.86 – $132.51 · the $139.30 price screens above the $78.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Insulet Corporation (PODD) currently trades at $139.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $78.48, implying the stock looks roughly 43.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Insulet Corporation generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 33.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. Net debt stands at $335M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $58.86 (bear case) to $132.51 (bull case); at $139.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -44%, PODD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $83.22 $168.24 $307.55 80
Residual Income $23.92 $33.54 $141.59 76
Rev-Margin DCF $80.30 $147.26 $287.29 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $88.68 $141.32 $308.93 38
Owner Earnings $29.97 $72.15 $160.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit $72.39 $128.36 $245.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $82.00 $147.79 $276.81 41
5Y P/E Exit $62.44 $135.11 $232.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit $75.69 $171.68 $233.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $85.53 $192.37 $378.02 37
10Y P/E Exit $71.26 $150.24 $276.80 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $24.26 $169.18 $237.42 54
Lynch FV $87.40 $124.86 $162.32 50
PEG = 1.0 $87.40 $124.86 $162.32 46
EPV $49.34 $58.08 $65.73 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.41 $2.92 $4.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.41 $2.46 $3.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $53.51 $71.35 $89.19 63
P/S Multiple $45.49 $60.65 $75.81 58
P/B Multiple $45.49 $60.65 $75.81 55
EV/EBIT $89.25 $120.03 $150.81 53
EV/EBITDA $76.32 $102.79 $129.27 54
EV/Revenue $59.15 $85.83 $112.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.94 $14.66 $21.88 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $83.22 $168.24 $307.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $80.30 $147.26 $287.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $23.92 $33.54 $141.59 76
ROIC Compounder $69.47 $116.74 $144.67 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $112.63 $160.89 $209.16 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($160.89) versus Dividend Discount ($2.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.9%
Net margin 10.4%
Return on equity 23.0%
Free cash flow $378M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.9
More key figures
Operating margin 16.0%
EPS (TTM) $4.20
EPS growth (YoY) +159%
Net debt $335M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Insulet Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells insulin delivery systems for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Insulet Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells insulin delivery systems for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in the United States and internationally. The company offers Omnipod platform products comprising Omnipod 5 automated insulin delivery system, which includes a proprietary AID algorithm embedded in the pod that integrates with a third-party continuous glucose monitor to obtain glucose values through wireless Bluetooth communication; Omnipod DASH insulin management system that features a Bluetooth enabled pod that is controlled by a smartphone-like personal diabetes manager with a color touch screen user interface; and the Omnipod Insulin Management System. It also provides pods for Amgen for use in the Neulasta Onpro kit, which is a delivery system to help reduce the risk of infection after intense chemotherapy. The company sells its products to end-users through the pharmacy channel; and independent distributors. Insulet Corporation was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Acton, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Insulet Corporation reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was $247M in FY2025, compounding +95.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.7B
Latest YoY
+30.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+27.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+72.5%
Revenue +25.3%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $2.7B
Net income +95.8%/yr
FY21 $16.8M
FY22 $4.6M
FY23 $206M
FY24 $418M
FY25 $247M

PODD screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Insulet Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PODD

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 350 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.80× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 29.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.43× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 27
PAST 92 · sector 8
HEALTH 69 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Insulet Corporation (PODD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $78.48 versus a price of $139.30, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PODD?
Our model-based fair value for Insulet Corporation is $78.48 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $139.30.
What is the quality score of PODD?
Insulet Corporation has a Quality Score of 54/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Insulet Corporation (PODD)?
Insulet Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PODD?
The net profit margin of Insulet Corporation is about 10.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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