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Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc (PSBD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $335M

PS Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc logo Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc PSBD · US
Price$10.45
Fair Value$19.02
Upside+82.0%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range $10.55 – $26.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $21.60 to $19.02 (−11.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 82% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.55 to $26.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$13.10 $9.32 Fair Value $19.02 Jan 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

31‑month range $9.32 – $13.10 · fair‑value band $10.55 – $26.18 · the $10.45 price screens below the $19.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc (PSBD) currently trades at $10.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.02, implying the stock looks roughly 82.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at $713M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.55 (bear case) to $26.18 (bull case); at $10.45, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 82%, PSBD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $63.44 $109.35 $189.24 72
Gordon GGM $13.80 $24.87 $34.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage $13.80 $22.72 $26.57 61
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $13.80 $24.87 $34.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage $13.80 $22.72 $26.57 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.46 $9.99 $14.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $63.44 $109.35 $189.24 72

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($109.35) versus Asset-Based ($9.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow $161M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-1.03
Net debt $713M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. is a business development company specializing in direct investment. The Fund prefers to invest in corporate debt securities, collateralized loan obligation, and structured credit. The Fund prefers to invest in the United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc reported revenue of $111M in FY2025 versus $29.5M in FY2021, a compound +39.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$111M
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.4%
Revenue +39.3%/yr
FY21 $29.5M
FY22 −$49.4M
FY23 $154M
FY24 $110M
FY25 $111M
Net income
FY21 $19.1M
FY22 −$74.5M
FY23 $108M
FY24 $47.7M
FY25 −$3.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSBD

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside +82% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.72× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc (PSBD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.02 versus a price of $10.45, about +82% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PSBD?
Our model-based fair value for Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc is $19.02 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.45.
What is the quality score of PSBD?
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of PSBD?
The net profit margin of Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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