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Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $13.4B

SP Sprott Physical Silver Trust logo Sprott Physical Silver Trust PSLV · US
Price$20.97
Fair Value$17.17
Upside-18.1%
Quality29/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range $12.88 – $21.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +11.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.36 $6.25 Fair Value $17.17 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.25 – $36.36 · fair‑value band $12.88 – $21.46 · the $20.97 price screens above the $17.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) currently trades at $20.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.17, implying the stock looks roughly 18.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $199M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.88 (bear case) to $21.46 (bull case); at $20.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -18%, PSLV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $15.15 $20.20 $25.25 55
NCAV (Graham) $11.88 $15.92 $23.76 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $15.15 $20.20 $25.25 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.88 $15.92 $23.76 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($20.20) versus Asset-Based ($15.92). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow $145M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.4
EPS (TTM) $14.48
Net cash $199M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 4
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sprott Physical Silver Trust is an exchange traded commodity launched and managed by Sprott Asset Management LP. The fund invests in the commodity markets. It primarily invests in physical silver bullion in London Good Delivery bar form. Sprott Physical Silver Trust was formed on June 30, 2010 and is domiciled in Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sprott Physical Silver Trust reported revenue of −$2.7M in FY2025 versus −$544M in FY2021. Reported net income was $8.5B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$828M
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.5%
Revenue
FY21 −$544M
FY22 $108M
FY23 −$47.4M
FY24 $828M
FY25 −$2.7M
Net income
FY21 −$550M
FY22 $103M
FY23 −$53.5M
FY24 $821M
FY25 $8.5B

PSLV screens 18% overvalued. Compare with BlackRock, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sprott Physical Silver Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSLV

Peer Group

Asset Management · 690 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 91.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 36
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 68

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,161 $465.75 -60%
Blackstone Inc BX $146.41 $52.88 -64%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.90 kr 835.80 +100%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 544.00 kr 375.93 -31%
ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,579 ₹11,257 -3%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.17 versus a price of $20.97, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PSLV?
Our model-based fair value for Sprott Physical Silver Trust is $17.17 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $20.97.
What is the quality score of PSLV?
Sprott Physical Silver Trust has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of PSLV?
The net profit margin of Sprott Physical Silver Trust is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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