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PTC Therapeutics, Inc (PTCT) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $7.0B

PT PTC Therapeutics, Inc logo PTC Therapeutics, Inc PTCT · US
Price$73.31
Fair Value$133.49
Upside+82.1%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -22.6% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range $101.38 – $165.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −17.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 82% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($101.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$89.55 $18.07 Fair Value $133.49 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.07 – $89.55 · fair‑value band $101.38 – $165.89 · the $73.31 price screens below the $133.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

PTC Therapeutics, Inc (PTCT) currently trades at $73.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $133.49, implying the stock looks roughly 82.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PTC Therapeutics, Inc generated revenue of $827M at a net margin of -22.6%. Revenue declined 76.8% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $492M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $101.38 (bear case) to $165.89 (bull case); at $73.31, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 82%, PTCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $113.92 $228.18 $412.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF $67.54 $119.63 $229.47 74
ROIC Compounder $84.61 $118.13 $157.74 72
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $122.12 $194.80 $421.39 38
Owner Earnings $115.02 $270.16 $583.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit $60.61 $102.85 $190.32 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $109.63 $201.94 $382.90 41
5Y P/E Exit $126.21 $297.61 $531.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit $78.36 $160.74 $205.03 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $115.23 $263.88 $520.51 37
10Y P/E Exit $127.06 $298.77 $580.90 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $55.96 $390.27 $547.68 54
Lynch FV $201.63 $288.04 $374.45 50
PEG = 1.0 $201.63 $288.04 $374.45 46
EPV $71.94 $85.28 $96.78 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $135.79 $181.05 $226.32 63
P/S Multiple $54.77 $73.02 $91.28 58
EV/EBIT $119.11 $162.99 $206.87 53
EV/EBITDA $100.79 $138.56 $176.34 54
EV/Revenue $31.27 $50.05 $68.82 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $113.92 $228.18 $412.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF $67.54 $119.63 $229.47 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $84.61 $118.13 $157.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $267.64 $382.35 $497.05 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($382.35) versus Economic Profit ($118.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $827M
Revenue growth (YoY) -76.8%
Net margin -22.6%
Return on equity -7,740%
Free cash flow $702M FY2025
Operating margin 16.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.54
Net cash $492M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 85
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 96
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 3
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PTC Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of medicines to children and adults living with rare disorders in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

PTC Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of medicines to children and adults living with rare disorders in the United States and internationally. The company provides Translarna and Emflaza for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy; Upstaza to treat aromatic l-amino acid decarboxylas (AADC) deficiency, a central nervous system disorder; Tegsedi and Waylivra for the treatment of rare diseases; and Evrysdi to treat spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) in adults and children. Its development pipeline products include Sepiapterin for the treatment of phenylketonuria; PTC518 splicing platform, which is being developed for the treatment of Huntington's disease; and inflammation and ferroptosis platforms, including vatiquinone to treat Friedreich's ataxia. The company distributes its products through third-party distributors. It has collaborations with F. Hoffman-La Roche Ltd., Hoffman-La Roche Inc., the SMA Foundation, National Taiwan University, Akcea Therapeutics, Inc., and Shiratori Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. The company has license and collaboration agreement with Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation to develop PTC518 Huntington's disease program. It markets Upstaza, a gene therapy with the brand name Kebilidi in the United States. PTC Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Warren, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PTC Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $539M in FY2021, a compound +33.9%/yr. Reported net income was $683M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
+114.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+35.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+35.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+39.4%
Revenue +33.9%/yr
FY21 $539M
FY22 $699M
FY23 $938M
FY24 $807M
FY25 $1.7B
Net income
FY21 −$524M
FY22 −$559M
FY23 −$627M
FY24 −$363M
FY25 $683M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PTC Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTCT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +82% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -77% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 8.51× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.81× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PTC Therapeutics, Inc (PTCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $133.49 versus a price of $73.31, about +82% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PTCT?
Our model-based fair value for PTC Therapeutics, Inc is $133.49 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $73.31.
What is the quality score of PTCT?
PTC Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PTC Therapeutics, Inc (PTCT)?
PTC Therapeutics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $827M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTCT?
The net profit margin of PTC Therapeutics, Inc is about -22.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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