Randstad NV (RAND) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Randstad NV stock €35.79, price €40.27, upside -11.1%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €21.36 – €48.99 · fair‑value band €26.71 – €44.73 · the €40.27 price screens above the €35.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
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Randstad N.V. provides solutions in the field of work and human resources services primarily in North America, Northern Europe, Southern Europe, the United Kingdom, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific.
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The company offers temporary staffing and permanent placement, job posting, and résumé services on digital platforms. It also provides recruitment process outsourcing, payroll, and outplacement services, as well as managed services programs.
In addition, the company offers inhouse, enterprise and digital, and tech suite services, as well as career development and online talent acquisition services. The company was formerly known as Randstad Holding NV and changed its name to Randstad N.V. in April 2018.
Randstad N.V. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Diemen, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
Randstad NV (RAND) currently trades at €40.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €35.79, 11.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €48.33 per share, and 11 of the 25 models we run sit above the €40.27 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €17.86, and 14 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €26.71 (bear) to €44.73 (bull), the price of €40.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Randstad NV reported revenue of €23.1B in FY2025 versus €24.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was €299M in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €7.1B Mid · P/E ratio 20.9 · P/S ratio 0.30 · EPS (TTM) €1.93 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at −11%, RAND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€26.71Fair Value €35.79Bull€44.73
Price €40.27 · Upside -11.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2548 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.4% vs −4.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.3% a year for the price and +0.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Randstad's rollout of AI-driven talent matching tools offers efficiency gains in a competitive sector, yet lacks clear durable edges and shows only modest returns with stable but not elevated margins.
Main risk: Uneven hiring demand across markets risks limiting the benefits of Randstad's AI and digital marketplace investments while pressuring its placement volumes and margins.
Randstad is rolling out digital marketplaces and AI tools to speed up talent matching and lower its cost to serve. This productivity push comes as hiring demand stays uneven across markets. Will the efficiency gains let it pull ahead of peers or mainly help hold margins steady in a cautious labor environment?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 82 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Randstad NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAND.AS
Frequently asked questions
Is Randstad NV (RAND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €35.79 versus a price of €40.27, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RAND?
Our model-based fair value for Randstad NV is €35.79 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €40.27.
What is the quality score of RAND?
Randstad NV has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Randstad NV (RAND)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €35.79 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €26.71, optimistic scenario €44.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Randstad NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €35.79, about −11% upside versus a price of €40.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €26.71, optimistic scenario €44.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Randstad NV (RAND)?
Randstad NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €23.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
Does Randstad NV pay a dividend?
Randstad NV currently shows a dividend yield of 4.02% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Randstad NV (RAND)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Randstad NV would have to grow free cash flow by -3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.2 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RAND use?
Our models discount Randstad NV at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Netherlands. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Randstad NV that is -3.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Randstad NV (RAND) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Randstad NV grew +2.2 % a year. The price currently implies -3.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Randstad NV (RAND) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Randstad NV (-3.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.28 %: that much free cash flow Randstad NV produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Randstad NV (RAND)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Randstad NV it is €35.79 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of €40.27. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Randstad NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, RAND trades above its calculated fair value: price €40.27, fair value €35.79, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RAND?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€40.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€35.79). For Randstad NV the two are €4.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Randstad NV worth?
The market values Randstad NV at about €7.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is €40.27; our models calculate a fair value of €35.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RAND?
Our models span a range for Randstad NV: cautious scenario €26.71, base €35.79, optimistic €44.73 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price €40.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RAND?
Randstad NV trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.9 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €35.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 1.8, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 11.9.
What is the PEG ratio of RAND?
The PEG ratio of Randstad NV is 1.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Randstad NV (RAND)?
Balance-sheet figures for Randstad NV (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RAND from its 52-week high?
Randstad NV trades at €40.27, about 2% below its 52-week high of €41.25 and 89% above the low of €21.36 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €35.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Randstad NV?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adecco Group, Robert Half Inc, Korn Ferry,, TriNet Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Randstad NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price €40.27, calculated fair value €35.79 (−11%), Quality Score 62/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RAND calculated?
We run Randstad NV through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €35.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Randstad NV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €40.27. Our model-based fair value is €35.79, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Randstad NV right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Randstad NV (RAND) come from?
Earnings per share at Randstad NV grew −3.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.0 %, EBIT margin −4.1 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Randstad NV
How large is the market capitalisation of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The market capitalisation of Randstad NV is €7.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Randstad NV is 0.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Randstad NV (RAND)?
Earnings per share at Randstad NV are €1.93 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The dividend yield of Randstad NV is 4.0% (payout 83.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The net margin of Randstad NV is 1.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Randstad NV is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Randstad NV (RAND)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Randstad NV is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Randstad NV (RAND)?
The operating margin of Randstad NV is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Randstad NV (RAND)?
Revenue at Randstad NV is growing +5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Randstad NV (RAND)?
Earnings per share at Randstad NV are growing +32.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Randstad NV (RAND) carry?
The net debt of Randstad NV is €1.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 24, 2026