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Redcentric plc (RCN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · GB · Market cap 199M GBX

RP Redcentric plc RCN · LSE
Price£1.25
Fair Value£0.4400
Upside-64.8%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range £0.3300 – £0.5500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −22.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.5500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.86 £1.19 Fair Value £0.4400 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.19 – £1.86 · fair‑value band £0.3300 – £0.5500 · the £1.25 price screens above the £0.4400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Redcentric plc (RCN) currently trades at £1.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 64.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Redcentric plc generated revenue of £133M at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at £42.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.3300 (bear case) to £0.5500 (bull case); at £1.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -65%, RCN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.8300 £1.21 £1.67 80
Residual Income £0.2500 £0.2500 £0.2400 76
Rev-Margin DCF £0.4900 £0.7900 £1.15 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.8400 £1.28 £1.86 38
Owner Earnings £0.5500 £0.8800 £1.30 31
5Y Revenue Exit £0.4900 £0.7800 £1.13 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £1.13 £2.00 £3.02 41
5Y P/E Exit £0.3900 £0.6000 £0.8100 38
10Y Revenue Exit £0.6200 £0.9000 £1.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.9800 £1.63 £2.50 37
10Y P/E Exit £0.5800 £0.7900 £1.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.1500 £0.5000 £0.6700 54
Lynch FV £0.1100 £0.1600 £0.2100 50
PEG = 1.0 £0.1100 £0.1600 £0.2100 46
EPV £0.0700 £0.1000 £0.1300 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.2500 £0.4200 £0.5400 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.2500 £0.3900 £0.4500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.3300 £0.4400 £0.5500 63
P/S Multiple £0.2800 £0.3700 £0.4700 58
P/B Multiple £0.2800 £0.3700 £0.4700 55
EV/EBIT £0.4800 £0.7200 £0.9500 53
EV/EBITDA £1.56 £2.16 £2.76 54
EV/Revenue £0.2500 £0.4500 £0.6600 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1700 £0.2200 £0.3400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.8300 £1.21 £1.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.4900 £0.7900 £1.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.2500 £0.2500 £0.2400 76
ROIC Compounder £0.0700 £0.1000 £0.1300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.2800 £0.4000 £0.5200 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£0.8800) versus Economic Profit (£0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 133M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.6%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 5.0%
Free cash flow 20.1M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 64.0
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) £0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) -49.2%
Net debt 42.4M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Redcentric plc provides IT managed services for public sector and commercial markets in the United Kingdom. It provides hosted IP telephony, unified communications, collaboration, SIP trunks, omnichannel contact centre, call management and reporting, and call recording; cloud consultancy, infrastructure as a service (Iaas), Microsoft Azure solutions, AWS …

Full company description

Redcentric plc provides IT managed services for public sector and commercial markets in the United Kingdom. It provides hosted IP telephony, unified communications, collaboration, SIP trunks, omnichannel contact centre, call management and reporting, and call recording; cloud consultancy, infrastructure as a service (Iaas), Microsoft Azure solutions, AWS consultancy, hybrid cloud, cloud immigration, Modern workplace 365, virtual desktops, and platform as a service (PaaS); and managed network services, such as connectivity, software-defined wide area network (WAN), local area network (LAN), managed WAN, secure remote access, and managed wireless networking solutions. The company also offers business continuity consultancy, data backup, and disaster recovery solutions. In addition, it provides network security, penetration testing services, application security, access management, security information and event management, endpoint management, distributed denial of service (DDoS) mitigation, vulnerability management, and security monitoring and analytics. Further, it offers IT consultancy, on-premises hardware and software, application modernization, implementation, supply chain management, and maintenance and support services. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Harrogate, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Redcentric plc reported revenue of £135M in FY2025 versus £91.4M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was £3.5M in FY2025, compounding −21.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£135M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 £91.4M
FY22 £93.3M
FY23 £142M
FY24 £163M
FY25 £135M
Net income −21.1%/yr
FY21 £9.0M
FY22 £6.9M
FY23 −£9.3M
FY24 −£3.4M
FY25 £3.5M

RCN screens 65% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Redcentric plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RCN

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.75× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 20 · sector 36
HEALTH 63 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Redcentric plc (RCN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.4400 versus a price of £1.25, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RCN?
Our model-based fair value for Redcentric plc is £0.4400 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.25.
What is the quality score of RCN?
Redcentric plc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Redcentric plc (RCN)?
Redcentric plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £133M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RCN?
The net profit margin of Redcentric plc is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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