Recon Technology Ltd (RCON) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $47.8M · ISIN KYG7415M1327
What is Recon Technology Ltd really worth?
Recon Technology Ltd
RCON · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 188% above our fair value of $0.5355.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −98.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6694). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3538 to $0.6694) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0400 – $246.24 · fair‑value band $0.3538 – $0.6694 · the $1.54 price screens above the $0.5355 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Recon Technology Ltd (RCON) currently trades at $1.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5355, implying the stock looks roughly 187.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Recon Technology Ltd generated revenue of $109M at a net margin of −25.5%. Revenue grew 102.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $64.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3538 (bear case) to $0.6694 (bull case); at $1.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 214% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −65%, RCON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Recon Technology, Ltd. provides hardware, software, and on-site services to companies in the petroleum mining and extraction industry in China. The Company provides specialized equipment, automation systems, tools, chemicals, outsourcing platform services, and field services to energy industry companies mainly in China.
Full company description
Recon Technology, Ltd. provides hardware, software, and on-site services to companies in the petroleum mining and extraction industry in China. The Company provides specialized equipment, automation systems, tools, chemicals, outsourcing platform services, and field services to energy industry companies mainly in China. The company offers equipment, tools, and other components and parts related to oilfield production and other energy industries; and develops and sells industrial automation control and information solutions. It is also involved in designing, testing, and implementing solutions for sewage, oily sludge treatment; and produces and sells integrated equipment and project services. In addition, the company develops, upgrades, and maintains online operation platform of gas stations, marketing, and promotion related services, as well as engages in production and efficiency of exploited oil wells business and plastic chemical cycle activities. Further, it provides equipment for oil and gas production and transportation, including heating furnaces, burner, waste water and oil treatment products and services, chemical recycling plan, automation system and service; and operates platform services comprising intelligent marketing system and digitalization solution for gas stations. Additionally, the company offers equipment and accessories. Recon Technology, Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Recon Technology Ltd reported revenue of $66.3M in FY2025 versus $47.9M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$42.6M in FY2025.
RCON screens 188% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 193 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLB | $57.33 | $28.66 | −50% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $62.00 | $32.40 | −48% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $75.27 | $27.43 | −64% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $36.18 | $21.50 | −41% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $53.09 | $45.68 | −14% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥144.58 | ¥34.17 | −76% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.57 | €2.72 | −40% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 341.20 | kr 221.37 | −35% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.31 | ¥12.64 | +3% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €211.80 | €95.01 | −55% |
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