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Recon Technology, Ltd (RCON) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $47.8M

RT Recon Technology, Ltd logo Recon Technology, Ltd RCON · US
Price$0.3905
Fair Value$0.6180
Upside+58.3%
Quality13/100
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Evidence: Low Range $0.4082 – $0.7725

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −21.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.50 $0.3880 Fair Value $0.6180 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.3880 – $4.50 · fair‑value band $0.4082 – $0.7725 · the $0.3905 price screens below the $0.6180 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Recon Technology, Ltd (RCON) currently trades at $0.3905, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6180, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Recon Technology, Ltd generated revenue of $109M at a net margin of -25.5%. Revenue grew 102.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $64.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4082 (bear case) to $0.7725 (bull case); at $0.3905, the current price sits below that range. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 58%, RCON screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $109M
Revenue growth (YoY) +102%
Net margin -25.5%
Return on equity -6.5%
Free cash flow −$43.7M FY2025
Operating margin -14.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.4400
Net cash $64.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Recon Technology, Ltd. provides hardware, software, and on-site services to companies in the petroleum mining and extraction industry in China. The Company provides specialized equipment, automation systems, tools, chemicals, outsourcing platform services, and field services to energy industry companies mainly in China. The company offers equipment, tools, and other components and parts related to oilfield production and other energy industries; and develops and sells industrial automation control and information solutions. It is also involved in designing, testing, and implementing solutions for sewage, oily sludge treatment; and produces and sells integrated equipment and project services. In addition, the company develops, upgrades, and maintains online operation platform of gas stations, marketing, and promotion related services, as well as engages in production and efficiency of exploited oil wells business and plastic chemical cycle activities. Further, it provides equipment …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Recon Technology, Ltd reported revenue of $66.3M in FY2025 versus $47.9M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$42.6M in FY2025.

Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY21 $47.9M
FY22 $83.8M
FY23 $67.1M
FY24 $68.9M
FY25 $66.3M
Net income
FY21 −$22.8M
FY22 $95.6M
FY23 −$59.2M
FY24 −$49.9M
FY25 −$42.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Recon Technology, Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RCON

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Frequently asked questions

Is Recon Technology, Ltd (RCON) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6180 versus a price of $0.3905, about +58% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of RCON?
Our model-based fair value for Recon Technology, Ltd is $0.6180 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3905.
What is the quality score of RCON?
Recon Technology, Ltd has a Quality Score of 13/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Recon Technology, Ltd (RCON)?
Recon Technology, Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $109M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RCON?
The net profit margin of Recon Technology, Ltd is about -25.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.