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State Street Corporation (S1TT34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of State Street Corporation BRL 443, price BRL 919, upside -51.7%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · BR · ISIN US8574771031

SS Broad data Sep 29, 2026

State Street Corporation

S1TT34 · SA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$443.48 · Strongly overvalued (−51.7%)
✓Quality 69/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +4.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 21.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 63/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$1,009 R$286.57 Fair Value R$443.48 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$286.57 – R$1,009 · fair‑value band R$332.61 – R$554.35 · the R$919.00 price screens above the R$443.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

State Street Corporation provides various financial products and services to institutional investors.

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State Street Corporation provides various financial products and services to institutional investors. It offers custody, accounting, and fund administration services for traditional and alternative assets, as well as multi-asset class investments; recordkeeping, client reporting, and investment book of record, transaction management, loans, cash, derivatives, and collateral services; investor services operations outsourcing; performance, risk, and compliance analytics; financial data management to support institutional investors; foreign exchange, brokerage, and other trading services; securities finance, such as prime services products; and deposit and short-term investment facilities. The company also provides the State Street Alpha platform that combines portfolio management, trading and execution, analytics and compliance tools, and advanced data aggregation and integration with other industry platforms and providers; front-office technology that automates and simplifies the institutional investment process comprising portfolio management and risk analytics, trading, and post-trade settlement with integrated compliance and managed data; investment management solutions; and portfolio management, trading compliance, and manager/sponsor communication. In addition, it offers investment management solutions, such as strategies across equity, fixed income, cash, multi-asset, and alternatives; and ETFs, custom indexed, managed funds, and mandates. The company provides its products and services to mutual funds, collective investment funds and other investment pools, corporate and public retirement plans, insurance companies, wealth managers, investment managers, foundations, and endowments. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

State Street Corporation (S1TT34) currently trades at R$919.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$443.48, 51.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 19 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at high.

Scenario range: R$332.61 (bear) to R$554.35 (bull), the price of R$919.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

State Street Corporation reported revenue of $14.0B in FY2025 versus $12.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.9B in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap R$256B (≈ $49.1B) · P/E ratio 15.7 · P/S ratio 3.30 · EPS (TTM) R$58.68 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 21.1% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets 0.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −52%, S1TT34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$332.61 Fair Value R$443.48 Bull R$554.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$41.89 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple R$334.90 R$446.53 R$558.16 55
NCAV (Graham) R$262.67 R$351.97 R$525.33 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple R$334.90 R$446.53 R$558.16 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$262.67 R$351.97 R$525.33 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.4% a year for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+12.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.8%

S1TT34 screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Blackstone Inc BX $112.09 $52.29 −53%
KKR & Co KKR $93.18 $29.26 −69%
Brookfield Corporation BN $36.87 $13.45 −64%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.06 $197.23 +70%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $494.82 $595.40 +20%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $122.01 $103.68 −15%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $175.73 $123.42 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $161.16 $317.27 +97%
Exor N.V EXO €68.10 €136.20 +100%
Principal Financial Group PFG $112.24 $47.18 −58%

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State Street Corporation · Fair Value
R$443.48 −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "State Street Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/S1TT34

Frequently asked questions

Is State Street Corporation (S1TT34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$443.48 versus a price of R$919.00, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of S1TT34?
Our model-based fair value for State Street Corporation is R$443.48 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$919.00.
What is the quality score of S1TT34?
State Street Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$443.48 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$332.61, optimistic scenario R$554.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the State Street Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$443.48, about −52% upside versus a price of R$919.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$332.61, optimistic scenario R$554.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
State Street Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does State Street Corporation pay a dividend?
State Street Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.36% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, State Street Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of S1TT34 use?
Our models discount State Street Corporation at 13.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.43, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For State Street Corporation that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has State Street Corporation (S1TT34) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at State Street Corporation grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of State Street Corporation (S1TT34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into State Street Corporation (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.08 %: that much free cash flow State Street Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For State Street Corporation it is R$443.48 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$919.00. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is State Street Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, S1TT34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$919.00, fair value R$443.48, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of S1TT34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$919.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$443.48). For State Street Corporation the two are R$475.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is State Street Corporation worth?
The market values State Street Corporation at about R$256B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$919.00; our models calculate a fair value of R$443.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about S1TT34?
Our models span a range for State Street Corporation: cautious scenario R$332.61, base R$443.48, optimistic R$554.35 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$919.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is S1TT34 from its 52-week high?
State Street Corporation trades at R$919.00, about 9% below its 52-week high of R$1,009 and 48% above the low of R$619.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$443.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to State Street Corporation?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is State Street Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$919.00, calculated fair value R$443.48 (−52%), Quality Score 69/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of S1TT34 calculated?
We run State Street Corporation through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$443.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. State Street Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$919.00. Our model-based fair value is R$443.48, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with State Street Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$554.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of State Street Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The market capitalisation of State Street Corporation is R$256B (≈ $49.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of State Street Corporation is 15.7. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of State Street Corporation is 3.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
Earnings per share at State Street Corporation are R$58.68 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The dividend yield of State Street Corporation is 0.4% (payout 5.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The net margin of State Street Corporation is 21.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of State Street Corporation is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the return on assets of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The return on assets (ROA) of State Street Corporation is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to everything the company owns. Harder to inflate than return on equity because debt does not boost it.
What is the operating margin of State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
The operating margin of State Street Corporation is 27.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
Revenue at State Street Corporation is growing −2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at State Street Corporation (S1TT34)?
Earnings per share at State Street Corporation are growing −24.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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