SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of SMA Solar Technology AG €58.07, price €55.85, upside +4.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €11.15 – €108.17 · fair‑value band €42.17 – €79.04 · the €55.85 price screens below the €58.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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SMA Solar Technology AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells PV and battery inverters, monitoring systems for PV systems, and charging solutions for electric vehicles in Germany and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Home & Business Solutions and Large Scale & Project Solutions.
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SMA Solar Technology AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells PV and battery inverters, monitoring systems for PV systems, and charging solutions for electric vehicles in Germany and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Home & Business Solutions and Large Scale & Project Solutions. It offers solar and battery inverters, hybrid inverters, system solutions and packages, solar batteries, e-mobility charging solutions, energy management solutions, SMA echarger and commercial storage solutions, and Sunny Tripower X, as well as digital solutions to design, operate, and service PV systems and energy systems. The company serves electric utility companies, independent power producers, project developers and institutional investors, EPCs, system integrators, and grid operators, as well as energy-intensive industries. The company was formerly known as SMA Technologie AG and changed its name to SMA Solar Technology AG in June 2008. SMA Solar Technology AG was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Niestetal, Germany.
Stock analysis
SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) currently trades at €55.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €58.07, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €57.55 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the €55.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €7.06, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €42.17 (bear) to €79.04 (bull), the price of €55.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SMA Solar Technology AG reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €984M in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€181M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €2.1B · P/S ratio 1.40 · EPS (TTM) €−5.43 · Net margin −11.9% · Return on equity −40.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin 3.9% · Revenue (TTM) €1.5B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 167% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 4%, S92 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €42.17Fair Value €58.07Bull €79.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.7% (2020) → −13.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.9% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
Compare SMA Solar Technology AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+4.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−7.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−12.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SMA Solar Technology AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/S92
Frequently asked questions
Is SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €58.07 versus a price of €55.85, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of S92?
Our model-based fair value for SMA Solar Technology AG is €58.07 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €55.85.
What is the quality score of S92?
SMA Solar Technology AG has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €58.07 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €42.17, optimistic scenario €79.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SMA Solar Technology AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €58.07, about +4% upside versus a price of €55.85 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €42.17, optimistic scenario €79.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
SMA Solar Technology AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SMA Solar Technology AG would have to grow free cash flow by +1.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of S92 use?
Our models discount SMA Solar Technology AG at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SMA Solar Technology AG that is +1.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SMA Solar Technology AG grew +8.1 % a year. The price currently implies +1.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SMA Solar Technology AG (+1.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.51 %: that much free cash flow SMA Solar Technology AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SMA Solar Technology AG it is €58.07 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €55.85. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SMA Solar Technology AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, S92 trades below its calculated fair value: price €55.85, fair value €58.07, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of S92?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€55.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€58.07). For SMA Solar Technology AG the two are €2.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SMA Solar Technology AG worth?
The market values SMA Solar Technology AG at about €2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €55.85; our models calculate a fair value of €58.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about S92?
Our models span a range for SMA Solar Technology AG: cautious scenario €42.17, base €58.07, optimistic €79.04 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €55.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of S92?
The PEG ratio of SMA Solar Technology AG is 0.80 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
Balance-sheet figures for SMA Solar Technology AG (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −40.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is S92 from its 52-week high?
SMA Solar Technology AG trades at €55.85, about 18% below its 52-week high of €68.10 and 167% above the low of €20.90 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €58.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SMA Solar Technology AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value First Solar, Inc, Nextpower Inc, Waaree Energies Limited, Tongwei Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SMA Solar Technology AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €55.85, calculated fair value €58.07 (+4%), Quality Score 52/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of S92 calculated?
We run SMA Solar Technology AG through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €58.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. SMA Solar Technology AG currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was €55.85. Our model-based fair value is €58.07, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SMA Solar Technology AG right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€42.17 to €79.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of SMA Solar Technology AG
How large is the market capitalisation of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
The market capitalisation of SMA Solar Technology AG is €2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SMA Solar Technology AG is 1.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
Earnings per share at SMA Solar Technology AG are €−5.43. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
The net margin of SMA Solar Technology AG is −11.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SMA Solar Technology AG is −40.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SMA Solar Technology AG is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
The operating margin of SMA Solar Technology AG is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
Revenue at SMA Solar Technology AG is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SMA Solar Technology AG (S92)?
Earnings per share at SMA Solar Technology AG are growing −80.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SMA Solar Technology AG (S92) hold?
SMA Solar Technology AG holds more cash than debt, €50.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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