Sampo Oyj (SAXPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sampo Oyj $6.81, price $10.17, upside -33.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Sampo Oyj
SAXPF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.09 – $11.24 · fair‑value band $5.11 – $8.52 · the $10.17 price screens above the $6.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Sampo Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides non-life insurance products and services in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Spain, Gibraltar, Germany, the Netherlands, France, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Private Nordic, Private UK, Nordic Commercial, and Nordic Industrial segments.
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Sampo Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides non-life insurance products and services in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Spain, Gibraltar, Germany, the Netherlands, France, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Private Nordic, Private UK, Nordic Commercial, and Nordic Industrial segments. It offers property, casualty, liability, accident, sickness, household, homeowner, motor, travel, marine, aviation, transport, forest, livestock, health, workers compensation, car, van, and bike insurance, as well as reinsurance products under the If, Topdanmark, and Hastings brand names. Sampo Oyj was founded in 1909 and is based in Helsinki, Finland.
Stock analysis
Sampo Oyj (SAXPF) currently trades at $10.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.81, 33.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $6.48 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $10.17 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.22, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $5.11 (bear) to $8.52 (bull), the price of $10.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sampo Oyj reported revenue of €10.6B in FY2025 versus €10.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was €2.0B in FY2025, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $27.5B · P/E ratio 14.3 · P/S ratio 2.69 · EPS (TTM) $0.7100 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 18.8% · Return on equity 21.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −33%, SAXPF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
SAXPF screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with Allianz SE →
Recent news
- Sampo books an impairment loss on intangible assets related to its IT systems in Denmark
- Sampo completes its share buyback programme
- Sampo plc’s share buybacks week 39/2026
- Sampo plc: Disclosure Under Chapter 9 Section 10 of the Securities Market Act (Solidium Oy)
Compare Sampo Oyj with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Diversified · 81 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allianz SE ALV | €412.00 | €229.84 | −44% |
| Zurich Insurance Group ZURN | CHF 563.60 | CHF 328.80 | −42% |
| AXA SA CS | €41.90 | €36.28 | −13% |
| Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G | €42.75 | €10.92 | −74% |
| Sun Life Financial Inc SLF | $79.48 | $41.03 | −48% |
| American International Group AIG | $74.17 | $71.58 | −3% |
| Talanx AG TLX | €117.40 | €91.88 | −22% |
| The Hartford Insurance Group HIG | $126.04 | $115.03 | −9% |
| Arch Capital Group ACGL | $94.26 | $127.51 | +35% |
| Swiss Life Holding SLHN | CHF 891.00 | CHF 413.93 | −54% |
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Key figures of Sampo Oyj
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