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Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.6B

TP Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited logo Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited TLX · US
Price$10.64
Fair Value$1.01
Upside-90.5%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.4000 – $1.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $3.37 to $1.01 (−70.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.4000 to $1.63). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

$20.93 $6.41 Fair Value $1.01 Nov 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range $6.41 – $20.93 · fair‑value band $0.4000 – $1.63 · the $10.64 price screens above the $1.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) currently trades at $10.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.01, implying the stock looks roughly 90.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited generated revenue of $804M at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 49.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.9%. Net debt stands at $487M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4000 (bear case) to $1.63 (bull case); at $10.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -91%, TLX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $0.1100 $0.2100 $0.3000 72
Gordon GGM $1.42 $2.83 $4.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.42 $2.45 $2.99 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.1100 $0.2100 $0.3000 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.42 $2.83 $4.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.42 $2.45 $2.99 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.5300 $0.8900 $1.24 53
EV/EBITDA $1.18 $1.75 $2.32 54
EV/Revenue $0.1900 $0.4900 $0.8000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9200 $1.23 $1.84 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.1100 $0.2100 $0.3000 72

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($2.45) versus Earnings-Based ($0.2100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $804M
Revenue growth (YoY) +49.3%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -1.9%
Free cash flow −$82.8M FY2025
Operating margin 1.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0200
Net debt $487M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutic and diagnostic radiopharmaceuticals. The company operates through three segments: Precision Medicine, Therapeutics, and Manufacturing Solutions.

Full company description

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutic and diagnostic radiopharmaceuticals. The company operates through three segments: Precision Medicine, Therapeutics, and Manufacturing Solutions. Its lead therapeutic product candidate is TLX591, a lutetium-labeled radio antibody-drug conjugate (rADC), which is in a Phase 3 clinical trial in patients with advanced prostate cancer. The company develops TLX250, an rADC for treating advanced metastatic kidney cancer; TLX101, a systemic therapy for the treatment of glioblastoma; TLX66, a product candidate for bone marrow conditioning for hematopoietic stem cell transplant conditioning; and Illuccix and Gozellix for the treatment of prostate cancer. The company is also developing TLX592, a prostate cancer therapy candidate for targeted alpha therapy based on its proprietary RADmAb-engineered antibody technology; TLX252 for the treatment of patients with advanced metastatic kidney cancer; TLX400, a bladder fibroblast activation protein for treating various tumors; TLX102, a large amino acid transporter-targeting small molecule-based alpha therapy candidate for the treatment of glioblastoma and multiple myeloma; TLX300 for treating soft tissue sarcoma; and TLX090, a bone-seeking agent for bone metastases and pain palliation. In addition, it is developing BiPASS, which is in Phase 3 clinical trial for prostate cancer diagnosis; AlFluor, a novel PET radiochemistry solution; TLX250-Px, a PET diagnostic imaging agent; and TLX101-Px, a radiolabeled amino acid PET agent. It operates in Australia, Belgium, Canada, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. The company has strategic collaboration with University Hospital Essen. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in North Melbourne, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $7.6M in FY2021, a compound +254.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$10.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+53.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+96.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+197.0%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+32.5%
Revenue +254.9%/yr
FY21 $7.6M
FY22 $160M
FY23 $503M
FY24 $783M
FY25 $1.2B
Net income
FY21 −$80.5M
FY22 −$104M
FY23 $5.2M
FY24 $49.9M
FY25 −$10.7M

TLX screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLX

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 606 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Revenue growth 49% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.53× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 69 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.01 versus a price of $10.64, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TLX?
Our model-based fair value for Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited is $1.01 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.64.
What is the quality score of TLX?
Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX)?
Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $804M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TLX?
The net profit margin of Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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