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Scienture Holdings, Inc. (SCNX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $15.5M · ISIN US80880X1046

What is Scienture Holdings, Inc. really worth?

SH Scienture Holdings, Inc. logo Scienture Holdings, Inc. SCNX · US
Price$0.3700
Fair Value$0.2805
Upside−24.2%
Quality26/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 32% above our fair value of $0.2805.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −52.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 1 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2104 – $0.3506

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −1.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3506). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$67.00 $0.2410 Fair Value $0.2805 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2410 – $67.00 · fair‑value band $0.2104 – $0.3506 · the $0.3700 price screens above the $0.2805 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Scienture Holdings, Inc. (SCNX) currently trades at $0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2805, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.3263 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.3700 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.2129, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $478K. It earns a return on equity of −56.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2104 (bear case) to $0.3506 (bull case); at $0.3700, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −24%, SCNX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence $0.1685 $0.2129 $0.2663 78
EV/EBITDA $0.2448 $0.3263 $0.4078 67
NCAV (Graham) $0.0019 $0.0025 $0.0037 54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence $0.1685 $0.2129 $0.2663 78
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.2448 $0.3263 $0.4078 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0019 $0.0025 $0.0037 54

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.3263) versus Asset-Based ($0.0025). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 32.5 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−2.45
Return on equity −56.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −47.8% avg 5y
Operating margin −6,231% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $478K TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +449% 3y avg −65.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$13.4B FY2025
Net cash $6.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Scienture Holdings, Inc. operates as pharmaceutical company that focuses on development and commercialization of products for the treatment of central nervous system and cardiovascular diseases in the United States.

Full company description

Scienture Holdings, Inc. operates as pharmaceutical company that focuses on development and commercialization of products for the treatment of central nervous system and cardiovascular diseases in the United States. The company develops SCN-102, an oral liquid formulation of losartan potassium that is in phase 1 for the treatment of hypertension, diabetic nephropathy, and reduction of the risk of stroke in patients with hypertension and left ventricular hypertrophy; and SCN-104, a multi-dose dihydroergotamine mesylate (DHE) injection pen. It also develops SCN-106, which is a thrombolytic agent that binds to fibrin in clots and converts entrapped plasminogen to plasmin; and SCN-107, a long-acting injection suspension formulation of a non-opioid analgesic for postsurgical local and regional analgesia. Scienture Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Commack, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Scienture Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $432K in FY2025 versus $9.9M in FY2021, a compound −54.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$41.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$432K
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−65.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−52.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.4%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −54.3%/yr
FY21 $9.9M
FY22 $10.3M
FY23 $1.4M
FY24 $137K
FY25 $432K
Net income
FY21 −$5.3M
FY22 −$3.5M
FY23 −$17.8M
FY24 $9.1M
FY25 −$41.5M

SCNX screens 32% overvalued. Compare with JD Health International Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Scienture Holdings, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCNX

Peer Group

Pharmaceutical Retailers · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 449% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Pharmaceutical Retailers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 32.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE1 · sector 22
FUTURE100 · sector 16
PAST0 · sector 13
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 62

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Pharmaceutical Retailers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JD Health International Inc 6618 HK$38.86 HK$33.31 −14%
Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited 0241 HK$3.26 HK$2.04 −37%
Yifeng Pharmacy Chain Co 603939 ¥24.03 ¥29.07 +21%
DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group 603233 ¥18.14 ¥23.86 +32%
MedPlus Health Services Limited MEDPLUS ₹656.80 ₹191.97 −71%
LBX Pharmacy Chain Joint Stock Company 603883 ¥13.44 ¥10.57 −21%
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group 002727 ¥11.61 ¥9.45 −19%
Anhui Huaren Health Pharmaceutical Co 301408 ¥16.31 ¥10.05 −38%
ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp 301017 ¥13.30 ¥5.91 −56%
Apotea AB APOTEA kr 74.15 kr 46.46 −37%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Scienture Holdings, Inc. (SCNX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2805 versus a price of $0.3700, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCNX?
Our model-based fair value for Scienture Holdings, Inc. is $0.2805 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3700.
What is the quality score of SCNX?
Scienture Holdings, Inc. has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Scienture Holdings, Inc. (SCNX)?
Scienture Holdings, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $478K (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCNX?
The net profit margin of Scienture Holdings, Inc. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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