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S4 Capital plc (SCPPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of S4 Capital plc $0.45, price $0.57, upside -21.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
S4 Capital plc
SCPPF · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
!Fair value $0.4500 · Overvalued (−21.1%)
!Quality 50/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +17.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.9% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1937 – $11.46 · fair‑value band $0.2800 – $0.6100 · the $0.5700 price screens above the $0.4500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
S4 Capital plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides digital advertising, marketing, and technology services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers contents, campaigns, and assets for paid, social, and earned media, such as digital platforms and apps, as well as brand activations.
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S4 Capital plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides digital advertising, marketing, and technology services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers contents, campaigns, and assets for paid, social, and earned media, such as digital platforms and apps, as well as brand activations. It also provides campaign management analytics, creative production and ad serving, platform and systems integration, transition, and training and education services. In addition, the company offers digital transformation services in delivering digital product design, engineering, and delivery services. The company has a strategic partnership with Windsurf to create AI development environment. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
S4 Capital plc (SCPPF) currently trades at $0.5700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4500, 21.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.48 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the $0.5700 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1300, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2800 (bear) to $0.6100 (bull), the price of $0.5700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
S4 Capital plc reported revenue of £755M in FY2025 versus £687M in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −£24.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $385M · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0500 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −3.3% · Return on equity −4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 194% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at −21%, SCPPF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2800
Fair Value $0.4500
Bull $0.6100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.52
$3.82
$7.15
75
EPV
$0.1000
$0.1400
$0.1600
74
Growth DCF
$2.38
$4.00
$6.69
74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.52
$3.82
$7.15
75
Owner Earnings
$1.18
$2.48
$4.75
70
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.05
$1.55
$2.44
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.77
$3.09
$5.48
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.57
$2.42
$3.15
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.01
$3.58
$6.25
64
Earnings-Based
EPV
$0.1000
$0.1400
$0.1600
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.0800
$0.1400
$0.1800
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.0800
$0.1300
$0.1500
65
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.3400
$0.5000
$0.6700
65
EV/EBITDA
$1.43
$1.96
$2.49
67
EV/Revenue
$0.2200
$0.3800
$0.5400
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.5000
$0.6700
$1.01
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.38
$4.00
$6.69
74
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.05
$1.69
$2.63
69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
$0.1000
$0.1400
$0.1600
70
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
50/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Profitability
13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
56
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +39.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.9%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.6% (2020) → 2.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.1% a year for the price and −4.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−15.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.8%
SCPPF screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →
Compare S4 Capital plc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 182 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AppLovin Corporation APP | $290.43 | $319.47 | +10% |
| Publicis Groupe S.A PUB | €94.24 | €145.63 | +55% |
| Omnicom Group OMC | $73.63 | $114.19 | +55% |
| Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 | ¥4.66 | ¥5.71 | +23% |
| JCDecaux SE DEC | €24.96 | €20.99 | −16% |
| The Trade Desk, Inc TTD | $12.05 | $43.84 | +264% |
| WPP plc WPP | $25.99 | $39.72 | +53% |
| Leo Group 002131 | ¥4.31 | ¥0.6000 | −86% |
| Magnite, Inc MGNI | $25.67 | $28.24 | +10% |
| Mobvista Inc 1860 | HK$13.51 | HK$12.22 | −10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is S4 Capital plc (SCPPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4500 versus a price of $0.5700, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCPPF?
Our model-based fair value for S4 Capital plc is $0.4500 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5700.
What is the quality score of SCPPF?
S4 Capital plc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4500 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2800, optimistic scenario $0.6100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the S4 Capital plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4500, about −21% upside versus a price of $0.5700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2800, optimistic scenario $0.6100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
S4 Capital plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £755M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does S4 Capital plc pay a dividend?
S4 Capital plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, S4 Capital plc would have to grow free cash flow by -18.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCPPF use?
Our models discount S4 Capital plc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For S4 Capital plc that is -18.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has S4 Capital plc (SCPPF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at S4 Capital plc grew +17.1 % a year. The price currently implies -18.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into S4 Capital plc (-18.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 34.55 %: that much free cash flow S4 Capital plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For S4 Capital plc it is $0.4500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5700. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is S4 Capital plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SCPPF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5700, fair value $0.4500, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCPPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4500). For S4 Capital plc the two are $0.1200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is S4 Capital plc worth?
The market values S4 Capital plc at about $385M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5700; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCPPF?
Our models span a range for S4 Capital plc: cautious scenario $0.2800, base $0.4500, optimistic $0.6100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for S4 Capital plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.6%, debt of 0.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCPPF from its 52-week high?
S4 Capital plc trades at $0.5700, about 21% below its 52-week high of $0.7218 and 194% above the low of $0.1937 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to S4 Capital plc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is S4 Capital plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5700, calculated fair value $0.4500 (−21%), Quality Score 50/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCPPF calculated?
We run S4 Capital plc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. S4 Capital plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.5700. Our model-based fair value is $0.4500, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with S4 Capital plc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.2800 to $0.6100) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of S4 Capital plc
How large is the market capitalisation of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The market capitalisation of S4 Capital plc is $385M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of S4 Capital plc is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
Earnings per share at S4 Capital plc are $−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The dividend yield of S4 Capital plc is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The net margin of S4 Capital plc is −3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of S4 Capital plc is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of S4 Capital plc is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
The operating margin of S4 Capital plc is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at S4 Capital plc (SCPPF)?
Revenue at S4 Capital plc is growing −7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does S4 Capital plc (SCPPF) carry?
The net debt of S4 Capital plc is £115M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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